Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago-O'Hare, the primary reference station, recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F on August 31, 2026—well above the 80°F normal but below historical extremes like the 99°F record from 1953. A late-summer heat dome drove the warmth through southerly flow and elevated dew points, yet daytime showers, thunderstorms, and cloud cover limited further intensification. This aligns directly with the market-implied 86-87°F outcome at near-certainty. Resolution could shift only in the unlikely event of station-specific data revisions or alternative measurement protocols overriding the official report.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 31 août ?
86-87°F 100.0%
81°F ou moins <1%
82-83 °F <1%
84-85 °F <1%
$95,933 Vol.
$95,933 Vol.
31 août 2026
81°F ou moins
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85 °F
Non
86-87°F
Oui
88-89 °F
Non
90-91 °F
Non
92-93°F
Non
94-95 °F
Non
96-97°F
Non
98-99°F
Non
100°F ou plus
Non
86-87°F 100.0%
81°F ou moins <1%
82-83 °F <1%
84-85 °F <1%
$95,933 Vol.
$95,933 Vol.
31 août 2026
81°F ou moins
$2,934 Vol.
Non
82-83 °F
$2,088 Vol.
Non
84-85 °F
$44,911 Vol.
Non
86-87°F
$12,842 Vol.
Oui
88-89 °F
$7,526 Vol.
Non
90-91 °F
$10,737 Vol.
Non
92-93°F
$7,060 Vol.
Non
94-95 °F
$4,925 Vol.
Non
96-97°F
$1,491 Vol.
Non
98-99°F
$1,080 Vol.
Non
100°F ou plus
$338 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago-O'Hare, the primary reference station, recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F on August 31, 2026—well above the 80°F normal but below historical extremes like the 99°F record from 1953. A late-summer heat dome drove the warmth through southerly flow and elevated dew points, yet daytime showers, thunderstorms, and cloud cover limited further intensification. This aligns directly with the market-implied 86-87°F outcome at near-certainty. Resolution could shift only in the unlikely event of station-specific data revisions or alternative measurement protocols overriding the official report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$95,933Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago-O'Hare, the primary reference station, recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F on August 31, 2026—well above the 80°F normal but below historical extremes like the 99°F record from 1953. A late-summer heat dome drove the warmth through southerly flow and elevated dew points, yet daytime showers, thunderstorms, and cloud cover limited further intensification. This aligns directly with the market-implied 86-87°F outcome at near-certainty. Resolution could shift only in the unlikely event of station-specific data revisions or alternative measurement protocols overriding the official report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95,933Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago-O'Hare, the primary reference station, recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F on August 31, 2026—well above the 80°F normal but below historical extremes like the 99°F record from 1953. A late-summer heat dome drove the warmth through southerly flow and elevated dew points, yet daytime showers, thunderstorms, and cloud cover limited further intensification. This aligns directly with the market-implied 86-87°F outcome at near-certainty. Resolution could shift only in the unlikely event of station-specific data revisions or alternative measurement protocols overriding the official report.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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