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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13

Polymarket

$14,873 Vol.

Polymarket

$14,873 Vol.

Nikki Budzinski (D)

$8,108 Vol.

95%

Jeff Wilson (R)

$6,766 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. She secured her party’s nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to Republican nominee Jeff Wilson’s limited resources. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins, reinforces trader consensus around Budzinski’s position ahead of the November general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited pathways for such shifts.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,873
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 13th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. She secured her party’s nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to Republican nominee Jeff Wilson’s limited resources. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins, reinforces trader consensus around Budzinski’s position ahead of the November general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited pathways for such shifts.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,873
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour l'IL-11 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour l'IL-11 ?

95%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre de l'Illinois-17 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre de l'Illinois-17 ?

94%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre de l'IL-10 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre de l'IL-10 ?

96%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Nikki Budzinski (D) » à 95%, suivi de « Jeff Wilson (R) » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13 » a généré $14.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13 », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13 » est « Nikki Budzinski (D) » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Jeff Wilson (R) » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.