Louisiana’s newly redrawn 6th Congressional District, anchored around Baton Rouge after the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais ruling and subsequent state legislative map, shifted the seat from a majority-Black Democratic district to one that Trump carried by more than 30 points in 2024. Forecasters at Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Cleo Fields declined to run under the new lines, leaving an open field where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded November 3 jungle primary. Early polling shows Republican candidates ahead with large undecided shares, consistent with the district’s R+16 partisan lean and registered voter edge. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong turnout swing or late-breaking development affecting the eventual Republican nominee ahead of the December 12 runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$70,704 Vol.
$70,704 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$70,704 Vol.
$70,704 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$39,536 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$31,168 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s newly redrawn 6th Congressional District, anchored around Baton Rouge after the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais ruling and subsequent state legislative map, shifted the seat from a majority-Black Democratic district to one that Trump carried by more than 30 points in 2024. Forecasters at Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Cleo Fields declined to run under the new lines, leaving an open field where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded November 3 jungle primary. Early polling shows Republican candidates ahead with large undecided shares, consistent with the district’s R+16 partisan lean and registered voter edge. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong turnout swing or late-breaking development affecting the eventual Republican nominee ahead of the December 12 runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$70,704Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s newly redrawn 6th Congressional District, anchored around Baton Rouge after the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais ruling and subsequent state legislative map, shifted the seat from a majority-Black Democratic district to one that Trump carried by more than 30 points in 2024. Forecasters at Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Cleo Fields declined to run under the new lines, leaving an open field where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded November 3 jungle primary. Early polling shows Republican candidates ahead with large undecided shares, consistent with the district’s R+16 partisan lean and registered voter edge. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong turnout swing or late-breaking development affecting the eventual Republican nominee ahead of the December 12 runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$70,704Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s newly redrawn 6th Congressional District, anchored around Baton Rouge after the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais ruling and subsequent state legislative map, shifted the seat from a majority-Black Democratic district to one that Trump carried by more than 30 points in 2024. Forecasters at Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Cleo Fields declined to run under the new lines, leaving an open field where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded November 3 jungle primary. Early polling shows Republican candidates ahead with large undecided shares, consistent with the district’s R+16 partisan lean and registered voter edge. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong turnout swing or late-breaking development affecting the eventual Republican nominee ahead of the December 12 runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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