The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Jim McGovern at 94.5 percent. The longtime incumbent advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary with over 99 percent of the vote and faces no filed Republican opponent ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with Democrats holding every Massachusetts House seat since 1994. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic. A credible GOP contender emerging late, an unexpected scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm could still shift the outcome, though such developments have not materialized in recent cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$72,799 Vol.
$72,799 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$72,799 Vol.
$72,799 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$37,571 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Jim McGovern at 94.5 percent. The longtime incumbent advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary with over 99 percent of the vote and faces no filed Republican opponent ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with Democrats holding every Massachusetts House seat since 1994. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic. A credible GOP contender emerging late, an unexpected scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm could still shift the outcome, though such developments have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$72,799Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Jim McGovern at 94.5 percent. The longtime incumbent advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary with over 99 percent of the vote and faces no filed Republican opponent ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with Democrats holding every Massachusetts House seat since 1994. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic. A credible GOP contender emerging late, an unexpected scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm could still shift the outcome, though such developments have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$72,799Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Jim McGovern at 94.5 percent. The longtime incumbent advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary with over 99 percent of the vote and faces no filed Republican opponent ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with Democrats holding every Massachusetts House seat since 1994. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic. A credible GOP contender emerging late, an unexpected scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm could still shift the outcome, though such developments have not materialized in recent cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes