Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory exceeding 79 percent. Recent developments include Dan Schwartz’s Democratic primary win and a substantial fundraising gap favoring Harris, while Democratic efforts to redraw the map for 2026 stalled without altering lines before the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could shift the outcome include a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan wave large enough to overcome the district’s structural advantages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-01
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-01
$62,364 Vol.
$62,364 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Andy Harris (R)
90%
Dan Schwartz (D)
11%
$62,364 Vol.
$62,364 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Andy Harris (R)
$34,712 Vol.
90%
Dan Schwartz (D)
$27,653 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory exceeding 79 percent. Recent developments include Dan Schwartz’s Democratic primary win and a substantial fundraising gap favoring Harris, while Democratic efforts to redraw the map for 2026 stalled without altering lines before the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could shift the outcome include a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan wave large enough to overcome the district’s structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$62,364Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory exceeding 79 percent. Recent developments include Dan Schwartz’s Democratic primary win and a substantial fundraising gap favoring Harris, while Democratic efforts to redraw the map for 2026 stalled without altering lines before the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could shift the outcome include a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan wave large enough to overcome the district’s structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$62,364Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory exceeding 79 percent. Recent developments include Dan Schwartz’s Democratic primary win and a substantial fundraising gap favoring Harris, while Democratic efforts to redraw the map for 2026 stalled without altering lines before the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could shift the outcome include a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan wave large enough to overcome the district’s structural advantages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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