Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding position in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. She secured her party's nomination in the June 23, 2026, primary with nearly 75 percent of the vote and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, including over $1 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, a retired military officer who won his primary, faces structural challenges in a district with significant Democratic registration edges. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in such districts. A shift would require an extraordinary event, such as a major scandal or health development affecting Elfreth before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-03
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-03
$45,882 Vol.
$45,882 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Sarah Elfreth (D)
96%
Berney Flowers (R)
5%
$45,882 Vol.
$45,882 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Sarah Elfreth (D)
$20,975 Vol.
96%
Berney Flowers (R)
$24,908 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding position in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. She secured her party's nomination in the June 23, 2026, primary with nearly 75 percent of the vote and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, including over $1 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, a retired military officer who won his primary, faces structural challenges in a district with significant Democratic registration edges. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in such districts. A shift would require an extraordinary event, such as a major scandal or health development affecting Elfreth before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,882Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding position in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. She secured her party's nomination in the June 23, 2026, primary with nearly 75 percent of the vote and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, including over $1 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, a retired military officer who won his primary, faces structural challenges in a district with significant Democratic registration edges. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in such districts. A shift would require an extraordinary event, such as a major scandal or health development affecting Elfreth before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,882Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding position in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. She secured her party's nomination in the June 23, 2026, primary with nearly 75 percent of the vote and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, including over $1 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Berney Flowers, a retired military officer who won his primary, faces structural challenges in a district with significant Democratic registration edges. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in such districts. A shift would require an extraordinary event, such as a major scandal or health development affecting Elfreth before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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