Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in Maryland’s 8th Congressional District because the safely Democratic seat, rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters with a D+30 Partisan Voter Index, has favored his party by wide margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 93 percent of the primary vote and maintains a fundraising edge exceeding $7 million against Cheryl Riley’s low-six-figure total. Riley, the Republican nominee after her June primary win, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources in a district where Democrats routinely exceed 70 percent in general elections. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-08
$28,005 Vol.
$28,005 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jamie Raskin (D)
98%
Cheryl Riley (R)
3%
$28,005 Vol.
$28,005 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jamie Raskin (D)
$19,477 Vol.
98%
Cheryl Riley (R)
$8,528 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in Maryland’s 8th Congressional District because the safely Democratic seat, rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters with a D+30 Partisan Voter Index, has favored his party by wide margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 93 percent of the primary vote and maintains a fundraising edge exceeding $7 million against Cheryl Riley’s low-six-figure total. Riley, the Republican nominee after her June primary win, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources in a district where Democrats routinely exceed 70 percent in general elections. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$28,005Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in Maryland’s 8th Congressional District because the safely Democratic seat, rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters with a D+30 Partisan Voter Index, has favored his party by wide margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 93 percent of the primary vote and maintains a fundraising edge exceeding $7 million against Cheryl Riley’s low-six-figure total. Riley, the Republican nominee after her June primary win, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources in a district where Democrats routinely exceed 70 percent in general elections. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,005Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in Maryland’s 8th Congressional District because the safely Democratic seat, rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters with a D+30 Partisan Voter Index, has favored his party by wide margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 93 percent of the primary vote and maintains a fundraising edge exceeding $7 million against Cheryl Riley’s low-six-figure total. Riley, the Republican nominee after her June primary win, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources in a district where Democrats routinely exceed 70 percent in general elections. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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