Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02

Polymarket

$11,611 Vol.

Polymarket

$11,611 Vol.

Ann Wagner (R)

$6,073 Vol.

63%

Fred Wellman (D)

$5,538 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ann Wagner maintains a trader consensus edge in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District race due to her status as a seven-term Republican incumbent in a suburban St. Louis-area seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voter index. Fred Wellman secured the Democratic nomination after a close August 4 primary, but nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. A May 2026 internal Democratic poll showed a narrow Wagner lead that flipped after voters heard candidate biographies, highlighting Wellman's military background and Wagner's underwater favorability. Recent resolution of Missouri's congressional map litigation, with courts directing use of 2022 boundaries for the November 3 general election rather than the Republican-drawn alternative, leaves district lines largely unchanged from prior cycles. Wagner's substantial fundraising lead and historical performance in the district continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,611
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ann Wagner maintains a trader consensus edge in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District race due to her status as a seven-term Republican incumbent in a suburban St. Louis-area seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voter index. Fred Wellman secured the Democratic nomination after a close August 4 primary, but nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. A May 2026 internal Democratic poll showed a narrow Wagner lead that flipped after voters heard candidate biographies, highlighting Wellman's military background and Wagner's underwater favorability. Recent resolution of Missouri's congressional map litigation, with courts directing use of 2022 boundaries for the November 3 general election rather than the Republican-drawn alternative, leaves district lines largely unchanged from prior cycles. Wagner's substantial fundraising lead and historical performance in the district continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,611
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre MO-01 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre MO-01 ?

97%
Oui
icon for Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre dans le MO-06 ?

Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre dans le MO-06 ?

95%
Oui
icon for Le Parti républicain va-t-il remporter le siège de la chambre du ME-02 ?

Le Parti républicain va-t-il remporter le siège de la chambre du ME-02 ?

58%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ann Wagner (R) » à 63%, suivi de « Fred Wellman (D) » à 37%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 63¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02 » a généré $11.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02 », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02 » est « Ann Wagner (R) » à 63%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Fred Wellman (D) » à 37%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.