Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, as the next Lok Sabha elections are not scheduled until 2029 and the BJP-led NDA holds a parliamentary majority. Recent developments, including student protests over exam irregularities that prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, have prompted limited cabinet adjustments and policy responses but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s leadership. Opposition calls for his departure and circulating claims of resignation have been officially refuted, while scheduled state assembly elections and internal party matters do not align with any near-term exit. Traders price the low probability of departure by year-end accordingly, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, electoral pressure, or institutional moves that would force a change before the resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSortie de Modi d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Oui
$251,083 Vol.
$251,083 Vol.
Oui
$251,083 Vol.
$251,083 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, as the next Lok Sabha elections are not scheduled until 2029 and the BJP-led NDA holds a parliamentary majority. Recent developments, including student protests over exam irregularities that prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, have prompted limited cabinet adjustments and policy responses but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s leadership. Opposition calls for his departure and circulating claims of resignation have been officially refuted, while scheduled state assembly elections and internal party matters do not align with any near-term exit. Traders price the low probability of departure by year-end accordingly, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, electoral pressure, or institutional moves that would force a change before the resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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