Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell holds a commanding position in the Mississippi 4th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and his successful primary performance. Ezell secured renomination with roughly 84 percent of the vote in March, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a contested primary. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and Ezell’s prior general-election margins. Hulum, a state representative and retired Army veteran, faces structural challenges in a district where Republican candidates have long dominated federal contests. The November general election outcome could still shift in the event of late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan swing, though current trader consensus assigns low probability to such scenarios.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MS-04
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MS-04
$40,255 Vol.
$40,255 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Ezell (R)
97%
Jeffrey Hulum III (D)
3%
$40,255 Vol.
$40,255 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Ezell (R)
$25,175 Vol.
97%
Jeffrey Hulum III (D)
$15,080 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell holds a commanding position in the Mississippi 4th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and his successful primary performance. Ezell secured renomination with roughly 84 percent of the vote in March, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a contested primary. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and Ezell’s prior general-election margins. Hulum, a state representative and retired Army veteran, faces structural challenges in a district where Republican candidates have long dominated federal contests. The November general election outcome could still shift in the event of late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan swing, though current trader consensus assigns low probability to such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$40,255Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell holds a commanding position in the Mississippi 4th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and his successful primary performance. Ezell secured renomination with roughly 84 percent of the vote in March, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a contested primary. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and Ezell’s prior general-election margins. Hulum, a state representative and retired Army veteran, faces structural challenges in a district where Republican candidates have long dominated federal contests. The November general election outcome could still shift in the event of late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan swing, though current trader consensus assigns low probability to such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,255Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell holds a commanding position in the Mississippi 4th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and his successful primary performance. Ezell secured renomination with roughly 84 percent of the vote in March, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a contested primary. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and Ezell’s prior general-election margins. Hulum, a state representative and retired Army veteran, faces structural challenges in a district where Republican candidates have long dominated federal contests. The November general election outcome could still shift in the event of late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan swing, though current trader consensus assigns low probability to such scenarios.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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