Microsoft's fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, released July 29, fueled the primary driver behind current trader positioning, with revenue rising 18% to $90 billion and Azure accelerating 43% year over year to push full-year cloud revenue past $100 billion. Commercial remaining performance obligations surged 84% to $678 billion, underscoring durable AI demand that lifted shares from the low $390s to the $510–515 range by late August. Recent weekly gains near 7% reflect this momentum, tempered by elevated capital expenditures and valuation multiples near 29 times forward earnings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around $500–520, pricing in continued strength while acknowledging risks from macro data or potential profit-taking ahead of fiscal 2027 guidance updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$500-$510 30%
$510-$520 24%
$490-$500 18%
$520-$530 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
<$470
11%
$470-$480
6%
$480-$490
8%
$490-$500
18%
$500-$510
30%
$510-$520
31%
$520-$530
13%
$530-$540
11%
$540-$550
6%
$550-$560
5%
>$560
11%
$500-$510 30%
$510-$520 24%
$490-$500 18%
$520-$530 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
<$470
$0 Vol.
11%
$470-$480
$0 Vol.
6%
$480-$490
$0 Vol.
8%
$490-$500
$0 Vol.
18%
$500-$510
$0 Vol.
30%
$510-$520
$13 Vol.
31%
$520-$530
$0 Vol.
13%
$530-$540
$0 Vol.
11%
$540-$550
$0 Vol.
6%
$550-$560
$0 Vol.
5%
>$560
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, released July 29, fueled the primary driver behind current trader positioning, with revenue rising 18% to $90 billion and Azure accelerating 43% year over year to push full-year cloud revenue past $100 billion. Commercial remaining performance obligations surged 84% to $678 billion, underscoring durable AI demand that lifted shares from the low $390s to the $510–515 range by late August. Recent weekly gains near 7% reflect this momentum, tempered by elevated capital expenditures and valuation multiples near 29 times forward earnings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around $500–520, pricing in continued strength while acknowledging risks from macro data or potential profit-taking ahead of fiscal 2027 guidance updates.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$13Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, released July 29, fueled the primary driver behind current trader positioning, with revenue rising 18% to $90 billion and Azure accelerating 43% year over year to push full-year cloud revenue past $100 billion. Commercial remaining performance obligations surged 84% to $678 billion, underscoring durable AI demand that lifted shares from the low $390s to the $510–515 range by late August. Recent weekly gains near 7% reflect this momentum, tempered by elevated capital expenditures and valuation multiples near 29 times forward earnings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around $500–520, pricing in continued strength while acknowledging risks from macro data or potential profit-taking ahead of fiscal 2027 guidance updates.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Volume
$13Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft's fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, released July 29, fueled the primary driver behind current trader positioning, with revenue rising 18% to $90 billion and Azure accelerating 43% year over year to push full-year cloud revenue past $100 billion. Commercial remaining performance obligations surged 84% to $678 billion, underscoring durable AI demand that lifted shares from the low $390s to the $510–515 range by late August. Recent weekly gains near 7% reflect this momentum, tempered by elevated capital expenditures and valuation multiples near 29 times forward earnings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around $500–520, pricing in continued strength while acknowledging risks from macro data or potential profit-taking ahead of fiscal 2027 guidance updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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