Denise Powell holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District open seat because the district’s recent Democratic primary winner has secured stronger fundraising, national party backing through the DCCC Red-to-Blue program, and favorable early polling trends in a swing district that last elected a Republican incumbent who chose not to run again. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting Powell’s edge on key voter concerns such as affordability and her ability to consolidate support after a competitive May primary. Brinker Harding’s Republican nomination and Trump endorsement have not yet narrowed the gap in market pricing. Late developments that could still shift probabilities include the October 14 debate performance, final turnout patterns among suburban voters, or any national economic or political events that alter the current implied probability reflected in trader positions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$40,135 Vol.
$40,135 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Denise Powell (D)
93%
Brinker Harding (R)
7%
$40,135 Vol.
$40,135 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Denise Powell (D)
$33,695 Vol.
93%
Brinker Harding (R)
$6,441 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Denise Powell holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District open seat because the district’s recent Democratic primary winner has secured stronger fundraising, national party backing through the DCCC Red-to-Blue program, and favorable early polling trends in a swing district that last elected a Republican incumbent who chose not to run again. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting Powell’s edge on key voter concerns such as affordability and her ability to consolidate support after a competitive May primary. Brinker Harding’s Republican nomination and Trump endorsement have not yet narrowed the gap in market pricing. Late developments that could still shift probabilities include the October 14 debate performance, final turnout patterns among suburban voters, or any national economic or political events that alter the current implied probability reflected in trader positions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$40,135Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Denise Powell holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District open seat because the district’s recent Democratic primary winner has secured stronger fundraising, national party backing through the DCCC Red-to-Blue program, and favorable early polling trends in a swing district that last elected a Republican incumbent who chose not to run again. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting Powell’s edge on key voter concerns such as affordability and her ability to consolidate support after a competitive May primary. Brinker Harding’s Republican nomination and Trump endorsement have not yet narrowed the gap in market pricing. Late developments that could still shift probabilities include the October 14 debate performance, final turnout patterns among suburban voters, or any national economic or political events that alter the current implied probability reflected in trader positions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,135Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Denise Powell holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District open seat because the district’s recent Democratic primary winner has secured stronger fundraising, national party backing through the DCCC Red-to-Blue program, and favorable early polling trends in a swing district that last elected a Republican incumbent who chose not to run again. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting Powell’s edge on key voter concerns such as affordability and her ability to consolidate support after a competitive May primary. Brinker Harding’s Republican nomination and Trump endorsement have not yet narrowed the gap in market pricing. Late developments that could still shift probabilities include the October 14 debate performance, final turnout patterns among suburban voters, or any national economic or political events that alter the current implied probability reflected in trader positions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes