Anthropic’s established position as the creator of the Claude Fable series drives current trader consensus, with the June 2026 launch of Fable 5 as its first public Mythos-class model and the subsequent early-September release of the refined Fable 5.1 delivering benchmark gains in long-horizon coding, agentic tasks, and context stability at reduced cache costs. Recent leaks point to an incremental Fable 5.2 update already in internal testing, focused on autonomous execution and tighter safety classifiers. Competitive pressure from open-weight challengers such as Z.ai’s GLM-5.2 has narrowed some gaps on specific leaderboards, yet Anthropic retains the lead on frontier benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro. Key near-term catalysts include potential regulatory clarity on export controls and any official announcements ahead of year-end model cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 oct. 2026
31 octobre
42%
31 décembre
85%
$8,377 Vol.
31 octobre
$6,293 Vol.
42%
31 décembre
$2,084 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s established position as the creator of the Claude Fable series drives current trader consensus, with the June 2026 launch of Fable 5 as its first public Mythos-class model and the subsequent early-September release of the refined Fable 5.1 delivering benchmark gains in long-horizon coding, agentic tasks, and context stability at reduced cache costs. Recent leaks point to an incremental Fable 5.2 update already in internal testing, focused on autonomous execution and tighter safety classifiers. Competitive pressure from open-weight challengers such as Z.ai’s GLM-5.2 has narrowed some gaps on specific leaderboards, yet Anthropic retains the lead on frontier benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro. Key near-term catalysts include potential regulatory clarity on export controls and any official announcements ahead of year-end model cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Volume
$8,377Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s established position as the creator of the Claude Fable series drives current trader consensus, with the June 2026 launch of Fable 5 as its first public Mythos-class model and the subsequent early-September release of the refined Fable 5.1 delivering benchmark gains in long-horizon coding, agentic tasks, and context stability at reduced cache costs. Recent leaks point to an incremental Fable 5.2 update already in internal testing, focused on autonomous execution and tighter safety classifiers. Competitive pressure from open-weight challengers such as Z.ai’s GLM-5.2 has narrowed some gaps on specific leaderboards, yet Anthropic retains the lead on frontier benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro. Key near-term catalysts include potential regulatory clarity on export controls and any official announcements ahead of year-end model cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,377Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s established position as the creator of the Claude Fable series drives current trader consensus, with the June 2026 launch of Fable 5 as its first public Mythos-class model and the subsequent early-September release of the refined Fable 5.1 delivering benchmark gains in long-horizon coding, agentic tasks, and context stability at reduced cache costs. Recent leaks point to an incremental Fable 5.2 update already in internal testing, focused on autonomous execution and tighter safety classifiers. Competitive pressure from open-weight challengers such as Z.ai’s GLM-5.2 has narrowed some gaps on specific leaderboards, yet Anthropic retains the lead on frontier benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro. Key near-term catalysts include potential regulatory clarity on export controls and any official announcements ahead of year-end model cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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