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Politique·Élection Principale

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politique·Élection Principale

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 81%

Stefan Evers 17%

Werner Graf 2.6%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$43,085 Vol.

Elif Eralp 81%

Stefan Evers 17%

Werner Graf 2.6%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$43,085 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$17,928 Vol.

81%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$14,049 Vol.

17%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$7,425 Vol.

3%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$1,448 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,234 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 80.5% implied probability as the next Governing Mayor of Berlin, well ahead of Stefan Evers (CDU) at 17% and lower shares for Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), Kristin Brinker (AfD), and others.** The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a tight multi-party race in which recent polling places Die Linke narrowly ahead or competitive at roughly 22%, followed closely by the CDU, Greens, and others in the mid-to-high teens. Eralp’s position strengthened after incumbent CDU mayor Kai Wegner withdrew as lead candidate in July 2026 amid criticism of his handling of a January power outage and related statements. Stefan Evers, the current finance senator, took over as CDU top candidate. Die Linke’s momentum, Eralp’s focus on housing affordability and rents, and the realistic prospect of a left-leaning three-party coalition (Linke–Greens–SPD) explain the strong market pricing. Traders assign lower odds to alternatives because no single party is near a majority and coalition math favors the current frontrunner. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election negotiations, with resolution tied to formation of the next governing coalition.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,085
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 80.5% implied probability as the next Governing Mayor of Berlin, well ahead of Stefan Evers (CDU) at 17% and lower shares for Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), Kristin Brinker (AfD), and others.** The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a tight multi-party race in which recent polling places Die Linke narrowly ahead or competitive at roughly 22%, followed closely by the CDU, Greens, and others in the mid-to-high teens. Eralp’s position strengthened after incumbent CDU mayor Kai Wegner withdrew as lead candidate in July 2026 amid criticism of his handling of a January power outage and related statements. Stefan Evers, the current finance senator, took over as CDU top candidate. Die Linke’s momentum, Eralp’s focus on housing affordability and rents, and the realistic prospect of a left-leaning three-party coalition (Linke–Greens–SPD) explain the strong market pricing. Traders assign lower odds to alternatives because no single party is near a majority and coalition math favors the current frontrunner. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election negotiations, with resolution tied to formation of the next governing coalition.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,085
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Les Verts feront-ils partie du prochain gouvernement régional de Berlin ?

Les Verts feront-ils partie du prochain gouvernement régional de Berlin ?

92%
Oui
icon for Le Linke remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections régionales de Berlin en 2026 ?

Le Linke remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections régionales de Berlin en 2026 ?

60%
Oui
icon for Élection d'État à Berlin : CDU au-dessus/en dessous de 20 % ?

Élection d'État à Berlin : CDU au-dessus/en dessous de 20 % ?

40%
Au-dessus

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Questions fréquentes

« Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Elif Eralp » à 81%, suivi de « Stefan Evers » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 81¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? » a généré $43.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? » est « Elif Eralp » à 81%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Stefan Evers » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.