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icon for NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

icon for NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

Polymarket

$49,682 Vol.

Polymarket

$49,682 Vol.

Donald Norcross (D)

$27,500 Vol.

95%

Damon Galdo (R)

$22,183 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean since 1975, his multiple terms in office, and strong local party infrastructure. Recent primary results showed both Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo advancing unopposed after an independent candidate was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reinforced by Norcross's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo's minimal resources. A major national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or significant change in voter turnout could theoretically alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,682
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean since 1975, his multiple terms in office, and strong local party infrastructure. Recent primary results showed both Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo advancing unopposed after an independent candidate was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reinforced by Norcross's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo's minimal resources. A major national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or significant change in voter turnout could theoretically alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,682
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre NJ-02 ?

Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre NJ-02 ?

84%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre du NJ-06 ?

Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre du NJ-06 ?

95%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour la circonscription NC-01 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour la circonscription NC-01 ?

64%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Donald Norcross (D) » à 95%, suivi de « Damon Galdo (R) » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » a généré $49.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est « Donald Norcross (D) » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Damon Galdo (R) » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « NJ-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.