Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 6th congressional district, facing Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley, who won a crowded primary with 31.5%. The district's partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+16 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 95% trader consensus on Rulli. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Kirtley's campaign faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered strong Republican margins in 2024. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout anomalies could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-06
Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-06
$68,810 Vol.
$68,810 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Michael Rulli (R)
95%
Elizabeth Kirtley (D)
5%
$68,810 Vol.
$68,810 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Michael Rulli (R)
$25,892 Vol.
95%
Elizabeth Kirtley (D)
$42,918 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 6th congressional district, facing Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley, who won a crowded primary with 31.5%. The district's partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+16 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 95% trader consensus on Rulli. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Kirtley's campaign faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered strong Republican margins in 2024. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout anomalies could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$68,810Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 6th congressional district, facing Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley, who won a crowded primary with 31.5%. The district's partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+16 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 95% trader consensus on Rulli. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Kirtley's campaign faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered strong Republican margins in 2024. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout anomalies could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$68,810Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 6th congressional district, facing Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley, who won a crowded primary with 31.5%. The district's partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+16 and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 95% trader consensus on Rulli. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Kirtley's campaign faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered strong Republican margins in 2024. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout anomalies could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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