Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and advancing past the August runoff when rival Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew following a shift in presidential endorsement. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Tedford’s position against Democrat John Croisant, the sole major-party opponent who advanced unopposed. Fundraising advantages, Tedford’s state legislative record, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure further reinforce the implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected third-party surge remain the primary scenarios that could materially alter the outcome before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOK-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OK-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$34,854 Vol.
$34,854 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mark Tedford (R)
93%
John Croisant (D)
8%
$34,854 Vol.
$34,854 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mark Tedford (R)
$19,850 Vol.
93%
John Croisant (D)
$15,004 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and advancing past the August runoff when rival Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew following a shift in presidential endorsement. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Tedford’s position against Democrat John Croisant, the sole major-party opponent who advanced unopposed. Fundraising advantages, Tedford’s state legislative record, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure further reinforce the implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected third-party surge remain the primary scenarios that could materially alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$34,854Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and advancing past the August runoff when rival Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew following a shift in presidential endorsement. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Tedford’s position against Democrat John Croisant, the sole major-party opponent who advanced unopposed. Fundraising advantages, Tedford’s state legislative record, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure further reinforce the implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected third-party surge remain the primary scenarios that could materially alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,854Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and advancing past the August runoff when rival Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew following a shift in presidential endorsement. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Tedford’s position against Democrat John Croisant, the sole major-party opponent who advanced unopposed. Fundraising advantages, Tedford’s state legislative record, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure further reinforce the implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected third-party surge remain the primary scenarios that could materially alter the outcome before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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