Recent polling from late August 2026 shows a fragmented field for Paraná’s two Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) trading narrow leads or technical ties in first- and second-preference totals. High undecided shares (often 23–29%) and the dual-vote system sustain volatility for second place. Dallagnol’s candidacy remains clouded by ongoing ineligibility challenges tied to prior judicial rulings, while Curi benefits from state legislative visibility and party organization. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Neokemp underscore regional strongholds and limited consolidation, keeping trader consensus on second place tightly clustered among the top four or five names ahead of the October 4 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlexandre Curi 32%
Deltan Dallagnol 27%
Gleisi 20.2%
Filipe Barros 20%
$26,920 Vol.
$26,920 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Alexandre Curi
32%
Deltan Dallagnol
27%
Gleisi
20%
Filipe Barros
20%
Cristina Reis Graeml
6%
Dr Rosinha
1%
Marcelo Marcelino
1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Alexandre Curi 32%
Deltan Dallagnol 27%
Gleisi 20.2%
Filipe Barros 20%
$26,920 Vol.
$26,920 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Alexandre Curi
$4,027 Vol.
32%
Deltan Dallagnol
$5,990 Vol.
27%
Gleisi
$3,745 Vol.
20%
Filipe Barros
$9,583 Vol.
20%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$1,125 Vol.
6%
Dr Rosinha
$574 Vol.
1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$605 Vol.
1%
Joaquim do MLB
$712 Vol.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$560 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows a fragmented field for Paraná’s two Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) trading narrow leads or technical ties in first- and second-preference totals. High undecided shares (often 23–29%) and the dual-vote system sustain volatility for second place. Dallagnol’s candidacy remains clouded by ongoing ineligibility challenges tied to prior judicial rulings, while Curi benefits from state legislative visibility and party organization. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Neokemp underscore regional strongholds and limited consolidation, keeping trader consensus on second place tightly clustered among the top four or five names ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$26,920Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows a fragmented field for Paraná’s two Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) trading narrow leads or technical ties in first- and second-preference totals. High undecided shares (often 23–29%) and the dual-vote system sustain volatility for second place. Dallagnol’s candidacy remains clouded by ongoing ineligibility challenges tied to prior judicial rulings, while Curi benefits from state legislative visibility and party organization. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Neokemp underscore regional strongholds and limited consolidation, keeping trader consensus on second place tightly clustered among the top four or five names ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,920Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August 2026 shows a fragmented field for Paraná’s two Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) trading narrow leads or technical ties in first- and second-preference totals. High undecided shares (often 23–29%) and the dual-vote system sustain volatility for second place. Dallagnol’s candidacy remains clouded by ongoing ineligibility challenges tied to prior judicial rulings, while Curi benefits from state legislative visibility and party organization. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Neokemp underscore regional strongholds and limited consolidation, keeping trader consensus on second place tightly clustered among the top four or five names ahead of the October 4 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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