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icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

Humberto Costa 49%

Mendonça Filho 38%

Marília Arraes 19.9%

Eduardo da Fonte 4.0%

Polymarket

$33,556 Vol.

Humberto Costa 49%

Mendonça Filho 38%

Marília Arraes 19.9%

Eduardo da Fonte 4.0%

Polymarket

$33,556 Vol.

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$10,747 Vol.

40%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$9,236 Vol.

36%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$5,900 Vol.

20%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$1,702 Vol.

4%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$1,453 Vol.

1%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pasteur Gilvan Costa

Pasteur Gilvan Costa

$834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$490 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in Pernambuco’s Senate race remains tightly contested between incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL), with recent polls from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Quaest showing them within or near the margin of error behind leader Marília Arraes (PDT). Each voter selects two candidates, so positioning for the second seat depends on turnout patterns, regional strength in the interior versus Recife, and last-minute campaign momentum ahead of the October 4 vote. Minor candidates such as Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) register lower support and appear less likely to challenge the top tier. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this uncertainty, with any late shifts in alliances, debate performance, or economic messaging potentially altering the narrow gap between the leading contenders for the remaining vacancy.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,556
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in Pernambuco’s Senate race remains tightly contested between incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL), with recent polls from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Quaest showing them within or near the margin of error behind leader Marília Arraes (PDT). Each voter selects two candidates, so positioning for the second seat depends on turnout patterns, regional strength in the interior versus Recife, and last-minute campaign momentum ahead of the October 4 vote. Minor candidates such as Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) register lower support and appear less likely to challenge the top tier. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this uncertainty, with any late shifts in alliances, debate performance, or economic messaging potentially altering the narrow gap between the leading contenders for the remaining vacancy.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,556
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

76%
icon for Veneziano remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

Veneziano remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

76%
Oui
icon for Bia Kicis obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District fédéral de 2026 ?

Bia Kicis obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District fédéral de 2026 ?

47%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Humberto Costa » à 40%, suivi de « Mendonça Filho » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » a généré $33.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est « Humberto Costa » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mendonça Filho » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.