The competitive multi-party contest for the October 5 Quebec general election, featuring a narrow lead for the Parti Québécois alongside gains by the Coalition Avenir Québec and a strong voter desire for change, supports moderate-to-high turnout expectations in the 66-74% range. Advance voting periods from late September, a new electoral map, and ongoing campaign mobilization by five parties with viable seat prospects encourage broader participation. Recent polling shows intentions stabilizing with more voters finalizing choices, while economic pressures from U.S. tariffs and healthcare concerns add salience. Offsetting factors include French-only election materials in English-dominant western regions, which local officials warn could reduce engagement there. These elements together shape trader consensus around typical provincial levels without extreme swings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour66-70 % 31%
70-74 % 25%
62-66 % 21%
58-62 % 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
<58 %
9%
58-62 %
10%
62-66 %
21%
66-70 %
31%
70-74 %
25%
74 %+
9%
66-70 % 31%
70-74 % 25%
62-66 % 21%
58-62 % 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
<58 %
$374 Vol.
9%
58-62 %
$100 Vol.
10%
62-66 %
$57 Vol.
21%
66-70 %
$187 Vol.
31%
70-74 %
$117 Vol.
25%
74 %+
$233 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The competitive multi-party contest for the October 5 Quebec general election, featuring a narrow lead for the Parti Québécois alongside gains by the Coalition Avenir Québec and a strong voter desire for change, supports moderate-to-high turnout expectations in the 66-74% range. Advance voting periods from late September, a new electoral map, and ongoing campaign mobilization by five parties with viable seat prospects encourage broader participation. Recent polling shows intentions stabilizing with more voters finalizing choices, while economic pressures from U.S. tariffs and healthcare concerns add salience. Offsetting factors include French-only election materials in English-dominant western regions, which local officials warn could reduce engagement there. These elements together shape trader consensus around typical provincial levels without extreme swings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,069Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The competitive multi-party contest for the October 5 Quebec general election, featuring a narrow lead for the Parti Québécois alongside gains by the Coalition Avenir Québec and a strong voter desire for change, supports moderate-to-high turnout expectations in the 66-74% range. Advance voting periods from late September, a new electoral map, and ongoing campaign mobilization by five parties with viable seat prospects encourage broader participation. Recent polling shows intentions stabilizing with more voters finalizing choices, while economic pressures from U.S. tariffs and healthcare concerns add salience. Offsetting factors include French-only election materials in English-dominant western regions, which local officials warn could reduce engagement there. These elements together shape trader consensus around typical provincial levels without extreme swings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,069Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The competitive multi-party contest for the October 5 Quebec general election, featuring a narrow lead for the Parti Québécois alongside gains by the Coalition Avenir Québec and a strong voter desire for change, supports moderate-to-high turnout expectations in the 66-74% range. Advance voting periods from late September, a new electoral map, and ongoing campaign mobilization by five parties with viable seat prospects encourage broader participation. Recent polling shows intentions stabilizing with more voters finalizing choices, while economic pressures from U.S. tariffs and healthcare concerns add salience. Offsetting factors include French-only election materials in English-dominant western regions, which local officials warn could reduce engagement there. These elements together shape trader consensus around typical provincial levels without extreme swings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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