Jim Clyburn’s commanding position in the SC-06 House election reflects the district’s consistent Democratic lean, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, along with the incumbent’s 17-term tenure and strong primary performance. Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination with over 90 percent of the vote in June 2026 after a failed Republican-led redistricting effort preserved existing boundaries. John Peterson, the Republican nominee following his own primary victory, faces structural barriers in a district anchored by Columbia and North Charleston that delivered Clyburn a roughly 20-point margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require a major national partisan swing, unexpected developments affecting Clyburn’s candidacy, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the district’s partisan composition ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$34,901 Vol.
$34,901 Vol.
Jim Clyburn (D)
95%
John Peterson (R)
6%
$34,901 Vol.
$34,901 Vol.
Jim Clyburn (D)
95%
John Peterson (R)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Jim Clyburn’s commanding position in the SC-06 House election reflects the district’s consistent Democratic lean, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, along with the incumbent’s 17-term tenure and strong primary performance. Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination with over 90 percent of the vote in June 2026 after a failed Republican-led redistricting effort preserved existing boundaries. John Peterson, the Republican nominee following his own primary victory, faces structural barriers in a district anchored by Columbia and North Charleston that delivered Clyburn a roughly 20-point margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require a major national partisan swing, unexpected developments affecting Clyburn’s candidacy, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the district’s partisan composition ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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