Recent August 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year, with a 0.4% monthly gain driven largely by a 3.9% surge in gasoline prices amid broader energy pressures. This print, combined with sticky core services and shelter components, has anchored trader expectations for the September annual rate near 3.5–3.7%. Market-implied odds assign the highest probability to 3.6% at 43.5%, reflecting consensus that recent energy volatility and limited disinflation progress will sustain readings in this narrow band ahead of the October 14 release. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 rate hike and updated projections underscore ongoing inflation concerns above the 2% target, while wage trends and moderating goods prices provide partial offsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour3,6 % 44%
3,7 % 27%
3,5 % 23%
3,8 % 7.1%
$37,385 Vol.
$37,385 Vol.
≤2,9 %
1%
3,0 %
1%
3,1 %
1%
3,2 %
1%
3,3 %
1%
3,4 %
2%
3,5 %
23%
3,6 %
44%
3,7 %
27%
3,8 %
7%
3,9 %
1%
≥4,0 %
1%
3,6 % 44%
3,7 % 27%
3,5 % 23%
3,8 % 7.1%
$37,385 Vol.
$37,385 Vol.
≤2,9 %
1%
3,0 %
1%
3,1 %
1%
3,2 %
1%
3,3 %
1%
3,4 %
2%
3,5 %
23%
3,6 %
44%
3,7 %
27%
3,8 %
7%
3,9 %
1%
≥4,0 %
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year, with a 0.4% monthly gain driven largely by a 3.9% surge in gasoline prices amid broader energy pressures. This print, combined with sticky core services and shelter components, has anchored trader expectations for the September annual rate near 3.5–3.7%. Market-implied odds assign the highest probability to 3.6% at 43.5%, reflecting consensus that recent energy volatility and limited disinflation progress will sustain readings in this narrow band ahead of the October 14 release. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 rate hike and updated projections underscore ongoing inflation concerns above the 2% target, while wage trends and moderating goods prices provide partial offsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes