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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe

Fábio 78%

Valmir de Francisquinho 17%

Emanuel Cacho <1%

Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%

Polymarket

$29,099 Vol.

Fábio 78%

Valmir de Francisquinho 17%

Emanuel Cacho <1%

Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%

Polymarket

$29,099 Vol.

icon for Fábio

Fábio

$18,867 Vol.

78%

icon for Valmir de Francisquinho

Valmir de Francisquinho

$6,563 Vol.

17%

icon for Emanuel Cacho

Emanuel Cacho

$634 Vol.

<1%

icon for Taty Cristina de Jesus

Taty Cristina de Jesus

$1,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr Helton

Dr Helton

$900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Marques

Ricardo Marques

$443 Vol.

<1%

The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor running for reelection with a broad coalition, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election. Recent Atlas and other September polls show him at 41-48% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) and lower-polling contenders including Ricardo Marques (PL), Dr. Helton (PSOL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC). This edge stems from incumbency, established name recognition, and consistent leads in voter intention surveys conducted in early September. The first-round vote on October 4 or potential October 25 runoff will determine the outcome, with no major late-campaign shifts reported in the past week.

The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,099
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor running for reelection with a broad coalition, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election. Recent Atlas and other September polls show him at 41-48% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) and lower-polling contenders including Ricardo Marques (PL), Dr. Helton (PSOL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC). This edge stems from incumbency, established name recognition, and consistent leads in voter intention surveys conducted in early September. The first-round vote on October 4 or potential October 25 runoff will determine the outcome, with no major late-campaign shifts reported in the past week.

The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,099
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

98%
Oui
icon for Dr Furlan remportera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de l'Amapá en 2026 ?

Dr Furlan remportera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de l'Amapá en 2026 ?

92%
Oui
icon for Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

82%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Fábio » à 78%, suivi de « Valmir de Francisquinho » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 78¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe » a généré $29.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe » est « Fábio » à 78%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Valmir de Francisquinho » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.