**Robust corporate earnings growth, led by AI-driven capital expenditures among hyperscalers, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 closing above 7,500 by year-end 2026.** With the index near 7,719 in early September and consensus 2026 EPS estimates reflecting 20-25% year-over-year expansion, markets price in continued momentum from technology and broader earnings upgrades. Resilient GDP growth around 2-2.5%, a stable labor market after August’s stronger-than-expected 162,000 payroll gain, and sticky core inflation near 3% support a higher-for-longer Fed stance, keeping Treasury yields elevated yet equity valuations supported by forward earnings. Implied probabilities tilt toward the upper ranges as traders weigh AI tailwinds against risks of multiple compression or policy surprises.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (SPX) fermera à la fin de 2026 ?
Qu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (SPX) fermera à la fin de 2026 ?
>8 000 $ 29%
7 500 $ - 8 000 $ 23%
7 000–7 500 $ 22%
6 500 $ - 7 000 $ 11%
$41,371 Vol.
$41,371 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<6 000 $
6%
6 000 $ - 6 500 $
6%
6 500 $ - 7 000 $
11%
7 000–7 500 $
22%
7 500 $ - 8 000 $
23%
>8 000 $
36%
>8 000 $ 29%
7 500 $ - 8 000 $ 23%
7 000–7 500 $ 22%
6 500 $ - 7 000 $ 11%
$41,371 Vol.
$41,371 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<6 000 $
$21,017 Vol.
6%
6 000 $ - 6 500 $
$2,365 Vol.
6%
6 500 $ - 7 000 $
$4,577 Vol.
11%
7 000–7 500 $
$2,726 Vol.
22%
7 500 $ - 8 000 $
$4,204 Vol.
23%
>8 000 $
$6,482 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."**Robust corporate earnings growth, led by AI-driven capital expenditures among hyperscalers, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 closing above 7,500 by year-end 2026.** With the index near 7,719 in early September and consensus 2026 EPS estimates reflecting 20-25% year-over-year expansion, markets price in continued momentum from technology and broader earnings upgrades. Resilient GDP growth around 2-2.5%, a stable labor market after August’s stronger-than-expected 162,000 payroll gain, and sticky core inflation near 3% support a higher-for-longer Fed stance, keeping Treasury yields elevated yet equity valuations supported by forward earnings. Implied probabilities tilt toward the upper ranges as traders weigh AI tailwinds against risks of multiple compression or policy surprises.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$41,371Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."**Robust corporate earnings growth, led by AI-driven capital expenditures among hyperscalers, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 closing above 7,500 by year-end 2026.** With the index near 7,719 in early September and consensus 2026 EPS estimates reflecting 20-25% year-over-year expansion, markets price in continued momentum from technology and broader earnings upgrades. Resilient GDP growth around 2-2.5%, a stable labor market after August’s stronger-than-expected 162,000 payroll gain, and sticky core inflation near 3% support a higher-for-longer Fed stance, keeping Treasury yields elevated yet equity valuations supported by forward earnings. Implied probabilities tilt toward the upper ranges as traders weigh AI tailwinds against risks of multiple compression or policy surprises.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$41,371Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Robust corporate earnings growth, led by AI-driven capital expenditures among hyperscalers, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 closing above 7,500 by year-end 2026.** With the index near 7,719 in early September and consensus 2026 EPS estimates reflecting 20-25% year-over-year expansion, markets price in continued momentum from technology and broader earnings upgrades. Resilient GDP growth around 2-2.5%, a stable labor market after August’s stronger-than-expected 162,000 payroll gain, and sticky core inflation near 3% support a higher-for-longer Fed stance, keeping Treasury yields elevated yet equity valuations supported by forward earnings. Implied probabilities tilt toward the upper ranges as traders weigh AI tailwinds against risks of multiple compression or policy surprises.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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