Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 general election as the Republican nominee in a district rated Likely Republican by forecasters. He secured the nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned amid scandal, then benefited from strong grassroots fundraising—outraising Democrat Katy Padilla Stout by wide margins—and an endorsement from President Trump. A July poll showed Herrera ahead by six points. Padilla Stout, who won her primary, has drawn high-profile backing from gun-safety advocates including Gabby Giffords and Bexar County Sheriff Javier Salazar, who emphasize public-safety reforms. Recent reporting on Herrera’s past online comments has given Democrats additional lines of attack, though the district’s partisan lean and Herrera’s resource advantage have kept trader consensus tilted toward the Republican. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution trigger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-23
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-23
$40,160 Vol.
$40,160 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Brandon Herrera (R)
69%
Katy Padilla Stout (D)
31%
$40,160 Vol.
$40,160 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Brandon Herrera (R)
$23,741 Vol.
69%
Katy Padilla Stout (D)
$16,420 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 general election as the Republican nominee in a district rated Likely Republican by forecasters. He secured the nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned amid scandal, then benefited from strong grassroots fundraising—outraising Democrat Katy Padilla Stout by wide margins—and an endorsement from President Trump. A July poll showed Herrera ahead by six points. Padilla Stout, who won her primary, has drawn high-profile backing from gun-safety advocates including Gabby Giffords and Bexar County Sheriff Javier Salazar, who emphasize public-safety reforms. Recent reporting on Herrera’s past online comments has given Democrats additional lines of attack, though the district’s partisan lean and Herrera’s resource advantage have kept trader consensus tilted toward the Republican. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$40,160Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 general election as the Republican nominee in a district rated Likely Republican by forecasters. He secured the nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned amid scandal, then benefited from strong grassroots fundraising—outraising Democrat Katy Padilla Stout by wide margins—and an endorsement from President Trump. A July poll showed Herrera ahead by six points. Padilla Stout, who won her primary, has drawn high-profile backing from gun-safety advocates including Gabby Giffords and Bexar County Sheriff Javier Salazar, who emphasize public-safety reforms. Recent reporting on Herrera’s past online comments has given Democrats additional lines of attack, though the district’s partisan lean and Herrera’s resource advantage have kept trader consensus tilted toward the Republican. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,160Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 general election as the Republican nominee in a district rated Likely Republican by forecasters. He secured the nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned amid scandal, then benefited from strong grassroots fundraising—outraising Democrat Katy Padilla Stout by wide margins—and an endorsement from President Trump. A July poll showed Herrera ahead by six points. Padilla Stout, who won her primary, has drawn high-profile backing from gun-safety advocates including Gabby Giffords and Bexar County Sheriff Javier Salazar, who emphasize public-safety reforms. Recent reporting on Herrera’s past online comments has given Democrats additional lines of attack, though the district’s partisan lean and Herrera’s resource advantage have kept trader consensus tilted toward the Republican. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution trigger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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