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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3
Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3
Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 44%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 18%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 17.4%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 4.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 44%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 18%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 17.4%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 4.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$1,927 Vol.

44%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$2,497 Vol.

18%

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$1,180 Vol.

17%

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$507 Vol.

4%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The September 18 by-election in Samoa’s Vaimauga 3 constituency follows the Electoral Court’s voiding of the May result after convictions for corrupt practices against both the prior winner and challenger, creating the third poll in the seat in roughly 18 months. Trader pricing reflects a fragmented field in which Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia (FAST) holds the narrowest edge, followed by HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo and independents including Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo and Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni. Multiple FAST candidates split the governing party’s support while several other contenders dilute remaining votes, sustaining the close contest. The short campaign window and absence of overseas voting limit opportunities for any single contender to consolidate backing before polling day.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$6,112
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The September 18 by-election in Samoa’s Vaimauga 3 constituency follows the Electoral Court’s voiding of the May result after convictions for corrupt practices against both the prior winner and challenger, creating the third poll in the seat in roughly 18 months. Trader pricing reflects a fragmented field in which Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia (FAST) holds the narrowest edge, followed by HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo and independents including Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo and Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni. Multiple FAST candidates split the governing party’s support while several other contenders dilute remaining votes, sustaining the close contest. The short campaign window and absence of overseas voting limit opportunities for any single contender to consolidate backing before polling day.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$6,112
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu va-t-il gagner l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 ?

33%
Oui
icon for Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

55%
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AS remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires lettonnes de 2026 ?

90%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia » à 45%, suivi de « Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 » est « Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.