Recent Pentagon updates to the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list in June 2026 added major tech and manufacturing firms including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, NIO, Unitree Robotics, and memory chipmakers CXMT and YMTC while removing a handful of entities with no direct or indirect U.S. operations. Listed companies face mounting pressure from upcoming procurement restrictions that tighten in 2027, prompting several to publicly commit to petitions and legal challenges asserting limited or no military-civil fusion ties. Historical precedent shows successful delistings, such as Xiaomi's 2021 court victory, often hinge on demonstrating independent private status or negligible U.S. activity rather than full clearance of alleged links. Trader focus centers on which petitioners can navigate DoD reviews amid ongoing U.S.-China strategic tensions before the June 2027 deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$258,390 Vol.
30 juin 2027
Alibaba
18%
CATL
18%
Hesai
18%
DJI
17%
Baidu
16%
Tencent
15%
CXMT
15%
BYD
14%
Unitree
14%
YMTC
9%
$258,390 Vol.
Alibaba
$59,220 Vol.
18%
CATL
$28,607 Vol.
18%
Hesai
$13,102 Vol.
18%
DJI
$15,831 Vol.
17%
Baidu
$21,133 Vol.
16%
Tencent
$40,504 Vol.
15%
CXMT
$8,391 Vol.
15%
BYD
$21,579 Vol.
14%
Unitree
$18,649 Vol.
14%
YMTC
$31,373 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).Recent Pentagon updates to the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list in June 2026 added major tech and manufacturing firms including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, NIO, Unitree Robotics, and memory chipmakers CXMT and YMTC while removing a handful of entities with no direct or indirect U.S. operations. Listed companies face mounting pressure from upcoming procurement restrictions that tighten in 2027, prompting several to publicly commit to petitions and legal challenges asserting limited or no military-civil fusion ties. Historical precedent shows successful delistings, such as Xiaomi's 2021 court victory, often hinge on demonstrating independent private status or negligible U.S. activity rather than full clearance of alleged links. Trader focus centers on which petitioners can navigate DoD reviews amid ongoing U.S.-China strategic tensions before the June 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
Marché ouvert : Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$258,390Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).Recent Pentagon updates to the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list in June 2026 added major tech and manufacturing firms including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, NIO, Unitree Robotics, and memory chipmakers CXMT and YMTC while removing a handful of entities with no direct or indirect U.S. operations. Listed companies face mounting pressure from upcoming procurement restrictions that tighten in 2027, prompting several to publicly commit to petitions and legal challenges asserting limited or no military-civil fusion ties. Historical precedent shows successful delistings, such as Xiaomi's 2021 court victory, often hinge on demonstrating independent private status or negligible U.S. activity rather than full clearance of alleged links. Trader focus centers on which petitioners can navigate DoD reviews amid ongoing U.S.-China strategic tensions before the June 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
Volume
$258,390Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent Pentagon updates to the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list in June 2026 added major tech and manufacturing firms including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, NIO, Unitree Robotics, and memory chipmakers CXMT and YMTC while removing a handful of entities with no direct or indirect U.S. operations. Listed companies face mounting pressure from upcoming procurement restrictions that tighten in 2027, prompting several to publicly commit to petitions and legal challenges asserting limited or no military-civil fusion ties. Historical precedent shows successful delistings, such as Xiaomi's 2021 court victory, often hinge on demonstrating independent private status or negligible U.S. activity rather than full clearance of alleged links. Trader focus centers on which petitioners can navigate DoD reviews amid ongoing U.S.-China strategic tensions before the June 2027 deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
DeepSeek sera-t-il ajouté à la liste des entreprises militaires chinoises d'ici le 30 juin 2027 ?
30%
Oui
Le gouvernement américain retire l'accès public à un important modèle d'IA chinois en 2026 ?
14%
Oui
Le gouvernement américain supprime l'accès public à un autre modèle d'IA d'Anthropic en 2026 ?
13%
Oui
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes