The solidly Republican character of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, combined with Glenn Grothman's long incumbency and consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins the dominant trader consensus favoring him. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting an R+8 partisan voter index and the absence of competitive Democratic performance since the 1960s. Brad Smith's narrow August primary victory and modest fundraising have not altered the landscape, while independent candidacies, including Mike Thurow, primarily draw from non-Republican voters without shifting the overall balance. Late-cycle developments such as polling shifts, turnout surges in swing counties, or unexpected national conditions remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$36,791 Vol.
$36,791 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Glenn Grothman (R)
94%
Brad Smith (D)
6%
$36,791 Vol.
$36,791 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Glenn Grothman (R)
$20,379 Vol.
94%
Brad Smith (D)
$16,412 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, combined with Glenn Grothman's long incumbency and consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins the dominant trader consensus favoring him. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting an R+8 partisan voter index and the absence of competitive Democratic performance since the 1960s. Brad Smith's narrow August primary victory and modest fundraising have not altered the landscape, while independent candidacies, including Mike Thurow, primarily draw from non-Republican voters without shifting the overall balance. Late-cycle developments such as polling shifts, turnout surges in swing counties, or unexpected national conditions remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$36,791Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, combined with Glenn Grothman's long incumbency and consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins the dominant trader consensus favoring him. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting an R+8 partisan voter index and the absence of competitive Democratic performance since the 1960s. Brad Smith's narrow August primary victory and modest fundraising have not altered the landscape, while independent candidacies, including Mike Thurow, primarily draw from non-Republican voters without shifting the overall balance. Late-cycle developments such as polling shifts, turnout surges in swing counties, or unexpected national conditions remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,791Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, combined with Glenn Grothman's long incumbency and consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins the dominant trader consensus favoring him. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting an R+8 partisan voter index and the absence of competitive Democratic performance since the 1960s. Brad Smith's narrow August primary victory and modest fundraising have not altered the landscape, while independent candidacies, including Mike Thurow, primarily draw from non-Republican voters without shifting the overall balance. Late-cycle developments such as polling shifts, turnout surges in swing counties, or unexpected national conditions remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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