**France's meteorological summer of 2026 wrapped with an undisputed record average temperature of 24.1°C, shattering the 2003 benchmark of 23.1°C by a full degree according to Météo-France data finalized August 31.** Multiple prolonged heatwaves—spanning 53 of 92 days—produced hundreds of all-time station highs, including the hottest national day on record in late June, and delivered the single hottest month ever in July. Traders have priced Yes near certainty because official verification is complete and the margin leaves virtually no room for revision. The only plausible upset scenarios would require an unprecedented redefinition of the summer period or record criteria by the resolving authority, neither of which appears under consideration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'été 2026 sera-t-il l'été le plus chaud jamais enregistré en France ?
L'été 2026 sera-t-il l'été le plus chaud jamais enregistré en France ?
Oui
97% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Oui
97% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.**France's meteorological summer of 2026 wrapped with an undisputed record average temperature of 24.1°C, shattering the 2003 benchmark of 23.1°C by a full degree according to Météo-France data finalized August 31.** Multiple prolonged heatwaves—spanning 53 of 92 days—produced hundreds of all-time station highs, including the hottest national day on record in late June, and delivered the single hottest month ever in July. Traders have priced Yes near certainty because official verification is complete and the margin leaves virtually no room for revision. The only plausible upset scenarios would require an unprecedented redefinition of the summer period or record criteria by the resolving authority, neither of which appears under consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,073Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiquesRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.**France's meteorological summer of 2026 wrapped with an undisputed record average temperature of 24.1°C, shattering the 2003 benchmark of 23.1°C by a full degree according to Météo-France data finalized August 31.** Multiple prolonged heatwaves—spanning 53 of 92 days—produced hundreds of all-time station highs, including the hottest national day on record in late June, and delivered the single hottest month ever in July. Traders have priced Yes near certainty because official verification is complete and the margin leaves virtually no room for revision. The only plausible upset scenarios would require an unprecedented redefinition of the summer period or record criteria by the resolving authority, neither of which appears under consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
Volume
$1,073Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiquesRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**France's meteorological summer of 2026 wrapped with an undisputed record average temperature of 24.1°C, shattering the 2003 benchmark of 23.1°C by a full degree according to Météo-France data finalized August 31.** Multiple prolonged heatwaves—spanning 53 of 92 days—produced hundreds of all-time station highs, including the hottest national day on record in late June, and delivered the single hottest month ever in July. Traders have priced Yes near certainty because official verification is complete and the margin leaves virtually no room for revision. The only plausible upset scenarios would require an unprecedented redefinition of the summer period or record criteria by the resolving authority, neither of which appears under consideration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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