The primary driver of USD/CAD positioning into late 2026 remains the persistent policy-rate gap, with the Federal Reserve holding at 3.50–3.75 percent amid sticky inflation near 3.4 percent year-over-year while the Bank of Canada stays at 2.25 percent. This roughly 140-basis-point differential supports the dollar, reinforced by recent FOMC dot-plot shifts toward potential hikes and firmer U.S. data. Oil-price volatility adds counter-pressure, as Canada’s energy exports benefit from WTI levels near $96–100, though recent Middle East supply concerns and tariff uncertainty have tempered CAD gains despite Q2 GDP rebounding 3.3 percent annualized. Traders are monitoring September FOMC and Canadian CPI releases for shifts in the implied rate path, with consensus forecasts clustering between 1.36 and 1.40 by year-end. Market-implied odds reflect capital-weighted bets on whether the spread narrows faster than commodity support offsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$14,496 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
↑1,70
3%
↑1,60
8%
↑1,55
25%
↑1,50
30%
↑1,45
28%
↓1,33
49%
↓1,30
50%
↓1,25
46%
↓1,20
33%
↓1,10
38%
$14,496 Vol.
↑1,70
$1,466 Vol.
3%
↑1,60
$422 Vol.
8%
↑1,55
$217 Vol.
25%
↑1,50
$18 Vol.
30%
↑1,45
$6,261 Vol.
28%
↓1,33
$56 Vol.
49%
↓1,30
$0 Vol.
50%
↓1,25
$86 Vol.
46%
↓1,20
$94 Vol.
33%
↓1,10
$157 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).The primary driver of USD/CAD positioning into late 2026 remains the persistent policy-rate gap, with the Federal Reserve holding at 3.50–3.75 percent amid sticky inflation near 3.4 percent year-over-year while the Bank of Canada stays at 2.25 percent. This roughly 140-basis-point differential supports the dollar, reinforced by recent FOMC dot-plot shifts toward potential hikes and firmer U.S. data. Oil-price volatility adds counter-pressure, as Canada’s energy exports benefit from WTI levels near $96–100, though recent Middle East supply concerns and tariff uncertainty have tempered CAD gains despite Q2 GDP rebounding 3.3 percent annualized. Traders are monitoring September FOMC and Canadian CPI releases for shifts in the implied rate path, with consensus forecasts clustering between 1.36 and 1.40 by year-end. Market-implied odds reflect capital-weighted bets on whether the spread narrows faster than commodity support offsets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Volume
$14,496Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).The primary driver of USD/CAD positioning into late 2026 remains the persistent policy-rate gap, with the Federal Reserve holding at 3.50–3.75 percent amid sticky inflation near 3.4 percent year-over-year while the Bank of Canada stays at 2.25 percent. This roughly 140-basis-point differential supports the dollar, reinforced by recent FOMC dot-plot shifts toward potential hikes and firmer U.S. data. Oil-price volatility adds counter-pressure, as Canada’s energy exports benefit from WTI levels near $96–100, though recent Middle East supply concerns and tariff uncertainty have tempered CAD gains despite Q2 GDP rebounding 3.3 percent annualized. Traders are monitoring September FOMC and Canadian CPI releases for shifts in the implied rate path, with consensus forecasts clustering between 1.36 and 1.40 by year-end. Market-implied odds reflect capital-weighted bets on whether the spread narrows faster than commodity support offsets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Volume
$14,496Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The primary driver of USD/CAD positioning into late 2026 remains the persistent policy-rate gap, with the Federal Reserve holding at 3.50–3.75 percent amid sticky inflation near 3.4 percent year-over-year while the Bank of Canada stays at 2.25 percent. This roughly 140-basis-point differential supports the dollar, reinforced by recent FOMC dot-plot shifts toward potential hikes and firmer U.S. data. Oil-price volatility adds counter-pressure, as Canada’s energy exports benefit from WTI levels near $96–100, though recent Middle East supply concerns and tariff uncertainty have tempered CAD gains despite Q2 GDP rebounding 3.3 percent annualized. Traders are monitoring September FOMC and Canadian CPI releases for shifts in the implied rate path, with consensus forecasts clustering between 1.36 and 1.40 by year-end. Market-implied odds reflect capital-weighted bets on whether the spread narrows faster than commodity support offsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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