Resilient U.S. labor market data and persistent inflation pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target are shaping trader expectations for potential rate action at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while July core PCE inflation printed at 3.7% amid energy supply shocks linked to Middle East tensions. Markets currently imply roughly a 58-60% chance of a 25-basis-point hike at the upcoming meeting, up from prior levels, following hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh. The August CPI release due September 11 represents the final major data point before the policy decision, with the current federal funds target range holding at 3.50-3.75%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$2,929,075 Vol.

Réunion de septembre
54%

Réunion d'octobre
65%
$2,929,075 Vol.

Réunion de septembre
54%

Réunion d'octobre
65%
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Resilient U.S. labor market data and persistent inflation pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target are shaping trader expectations for potential rate action at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while July core PCE inflation printed at 3.7% amid energy supply shocks linked to Middle East tensions. Markets currently imply roughly a 58-60% chance of a 25-basis-point hike at the upcoming meeting, up from prior levels, following hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh. The August CPI release due September 11 represents the final major data point before the policy decision, with the current federal funds target range holding at 3.50-3.75%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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