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icon for Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ?
Économie·Jerome Powell

Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ?

icon for Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ?
Économie·Jerome Powell

Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ?

$1,842,307 Vol.

30 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$1,842,307 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5,5 %

$55,364 Vol.

3%

↑ 5,25 %

$142,579 Vol.

3%

↑ 5,0 %

$19,154 Vol.

3%

↑ 4,75 %

$80,622 Vol.

4%

↑ 4,5 %

$39,789 Vol.

24%

↑ 4,25 %

$129,864 Vol.

76%

↓ 3,25 %

$81,643 Vol.

4%

↓ 3,0 %

$320,038 Vol.

<1%

↓ 2,75 %

$366,465 Vol.

2%

↓ 2,5 %

$225,618 Vol.

1%

↓ 2,25 %

$41,840 Vol.

2%

↓ 2,0 %

$21,221 Vol.

4%

↓ 1,75 %

$13,136 Vol.

1%

↓ 1,5 %

$28,320 Vol.

2%

↓ 1,25 %

$3,778 Vol.

1%

↓ 1,0 %

$2,319 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,75 %

$741 Vol.

1%

↓ 0,5 %

$107,202 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,25 %

$132,406 Vol.

2%

↓ 0 %

$21,203 Vol.

2%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve's September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% marks the primary driver of current trader positioning, reflecting elevated inflation pressures from energy prices and geopolitical factors. August CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, while the latest FOMC projections show a median path holding near 4.1% through 2027 after one additional hike this year. Resilient labor market data and solid GDP growth have tempered expectations for near-term easing, with the effective federal funds rate trading around 3.88%. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 28 and December 2026 FOMC meetings, plus fresh CPI and PCE releases that could shift market-implied odds on the rate path before year-end 2026.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,842,307
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve's September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% marks the primary driver of current trader positioning, reflecting elevated inflation pressures from energy prices and geopolitical factors. August CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, while the latest FOMC projections show a median path holding near 4.1% through 2027 after one additional hike this year. Resilient labor market data and solid GDP growth have tempered expectations for near-term easing, with the effective federal funds rate trading around 3.88%. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 28 and December 2026 FOMC meetings, plus fresh CPI and PCE releases that could shift market-implied odds on the rate path before year-end 2026.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,842,307
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

Connexes

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La borne supérieure du taux cible des fonds fédéraux sera-t-elle de 4,25 % à la fin de 2026 ?

53%
Oui
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46%
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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↓ 3,5 % » à 100%, suivi de « ↑ 4,25 % » à 76%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? » a généré $1.8 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? » est « ↓ 3,5 % » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↑ 4,25 % » à 76%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quel sera le taux de la Fed avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.