The Federal Reserve's statutory foundation under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act, combined with its ongoing roles in monetary policy, bank supervision, and payment system operations, underpins trader consensus against abolition before 2027. Recent congressional proposals such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act have advanced no further than committee referral, while other measures have focused narrowly on adjusting the dual mandate rather than elimination. The institution continues routine functions, including FOMC deliberations and proposals for expanded payment account access, reflecting broad institutional continuity. Achieving abolition would require coordinated passage of repeal legislation in both chambers, presidential approval, and an orderly wind-down within a compressed timeframe, barriers that explain the 98% implied probability on the "No" outcome. Late-session legislative shifts or acute economic disruptions remain the primary variables that could alter this positioning.