Brad Sherman, the longtime Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California’s 32nd congressional district alongside Republican Larry Thompson, reflecting the seat’s strong partisan lean and the absence of viable challengers in the general election. The district, which includes areas such as Sherman Oaks, Malibu, and Simi Valley, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Democrats by double digits, consistent with Sherman’s repeated victories exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles. Thompson, a film producer and attorney, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s voter registration advantage for Democrats. Trader consensus pricing these odds as high reflects the low likelihood of an upset absent late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift that alters turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.