Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive military and party purges has reinforced trader confidence that no coup attempt will materialize before 2027. Recent removals of senior Central Military Commission figures and dozens of Central Committee members target perceived disloyalty and factionalism, leaving fewer organized rivals capable of coordinated action. Unverified health rumors following the September 2026 BRICS summit have circulated but lack official confirmation and have not disrupted visible leadership continuity. The Chinese Communist Party’s institutional controls, including loyalty vetting and information management, historically suppress elite fractures. Remaining uncertainties center on an unforeseen acute health event for Xi or rapid external shocks that could expose succession gaps before the 2027 party congress.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
4% संभावना
$156,956 वॉल्यूम
$156,956 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
4% संभावना
$156,956 वॉल्यूम
$156,956 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive military and party purges has reinforced trader confidence that no coup attempt will materialize before 2027. Recent removals of senior Central Military Commission figures and dozens of Central Committee members target perceived disloyalty and factionalism, leaving fewer organized rivals capable of coordinated action. Unverified health rumors following the September 2026 BRICS summit have circulated but lack official confirmation and have not disrupted visible leadership continuity. The Chinese Communist Party’s institutional controls, including loyalty vetting and information management, historically suppress elite fractures. Remaining uncertainties center on an unforeseen acute health event for Xi or rapid external shocks that could expose succession gaps before the 2027 party congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$156,956समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive military and party purges has reinforced trader confidence that no coup attempt will materialize before 2027. Recent removals of senior Central Military Commission figures and dozens of Central Committee members target perceived disloyalty and factionalism, leaving fewer organized rivals capable of coordinated action. Unverified health rumors following the September 2026 BRICS summit have circulated but lack official confirmation and have not disrupted visible leadership continuity. The Chinese Communist Party’s institutional controls, including loyalty vetting and information management, historically suppress elite fractures. Remaining uncertainties center on an unforeseen acute health event for Xi or rapid external shocks that could expose succession gaps before the 2027 party congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$156,956समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive military and party purges has reinforced trader confidence that no coup attempt will materialize before 2027. Recent removals of senior Central Military Commission figures and dozens of Central Committee members target perceived disloyalty and factionalism, leaving fewer organized rivals capable of coordinated action. Unverified health rumors following the September 2026 BRICS summit have circulated but lack official confirmation and have not disrupted visible leadership continuity. The Chinese Communist Party’s institutional controls, including loyalty vetting and information management, historically suppress elite fractures. Remaining uncertainties center on an unforeseen acute health event for Xi or rapid external shocks that could expose succession gaps before the 2027 party congress.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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