OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation have anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap at or above $1.5 trillion. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion round set a private benchmark of $852 billion, while recent revenue reached a $24 billion annualized run rate amid continued infrastructure outlays and operating losses. Advisors flagged SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility as a cautionary signal, prompting a shift toward a 2027 debut to preserve pricing power rather than accept a lower 2026 valuation. CFO Sarah Friar’s August remarks reinforcing a 2027 timeline, combined with AI sector momentum and analyst multiples applied to projected ARR growth, underpin the 55% probability assigned to the 1.5T+ outcome. Key near-term catalysts include further revenue inflection and broader tech-market stability ahead of any listing window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1.5T+ 55.0%
1.25T–1.5T 14%
1T–1.25T 13.3%
750B–1T 9%
$185,339 वॉल्यूम
$185,339 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
9%
1T–1.25T
13%
1.25T–1.5T
14%
1.5T+
55%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं
7%
1.5T+ 55.0%
1.25T–1.5T 14%
1T–1.25T 13.3%
750B–1T 9%
$185,339 वॉल्यूम
$185,339 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<500B
$16,441 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500–750B
$17,327 वॉल्यूम
1%
750B–1T
$32,287 वॉल्यूम
9%
1T–1.25T
$23,245 वॉल्यूम
13%
1.25T–1.5T
$13,813 वॉल्यूम
14%
1.5T+
$44,401 वॉल्यूम
55%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं
$37,824 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation have anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap at or above $1.5 trillion. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion round set a private benchmark of $852 billion, while recent revenue reached a $24 billion annualized run rate amid continued infrastructure outlays and operating losses. Advisors flagged SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility as a cautionary signal, prompting a shift toward a 2027 debut to preserve pricing power rather than accept a lower 2026 valuation. CFO Sarah Friar’s August remarks reinforcing a 2027 timeline, combined with AI sector momentum and analyst multiples applied to projected ARR growth, underpin the 55% probability assigned to the 1.5T+ outcome. Key near-term catalysts include further revenue inflection and broader tech-market stability ahead of any listing window.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$185,339समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2028बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation have anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap at or above $1.5 trillion. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion round set a private benchmark of $852 billion, while recent revenue reached a $24 billion annualized run rate amid continued infrastructure outlays and operating losses. Advisors flagged SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility as a cautionary signal, prompting a shift toward a 2027 debut to preserve pricing power rather than accept a lower 2026 valuation. CFO Sarah Friar’s August remarks reinforcing a 2027 timeline, combined with AI sector momentum and analyst multiples applied to projected ARR growth, underpin the 55% probability assigned to the 1.5T+ outcome. Key near-term catalysts include further revenue inflection and broader tech-market stability ahead of any listing window.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$185,339समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2028बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation have anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap at or above $1.5 trillion. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion round set a private benchmark of $852 billion, while recent revenue reached a $24 billion annualized run rate amid continued infrastructure outlays and operating losses. Advisors flagged SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility as a cautionary signal, prompting a shift toward a 2027 debut to preserve pricing power rather than accept a lower 2026 valuation. CFO Sarah Friar’s August remarks reinforcing a 2027 timeline, combined with AI sector momentum and analyst multiples applied to projected ARR growth, underpin the 55% probability assigned to the 1.5T+ outcome. Key near-term catalysts include further revenue inflection and broader tech-market stability ahead of any listing window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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