Anthropic holds an overwhelming 79% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of September, driven by the July launch of Claude Opus 5, which quickly established state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench variants while powering agentic workflows in Claude Code. Its combination of strong long-context handling, tool use, and cost-efficient performance has kept multiple Claude variants near the top of live web development evaluations, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series at 17%. Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba show rising scores but trail in consistent agentic web dev tasks. Traders are pricing in continued Anthropic momentum ahead of the final leaderboard snapshot, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the ranking before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 78.6%
OpenAI 17.0%
अलीबाबा 2.8%
मूनशॉट 2.4%
$68,937 वॉल्यूम
$68,937 वॉल्यूम

Anthropic
79%

OpenAI
17%

अलीबाबा
3%

मूनशॉट
2%

स्पेसएक्सएआई
1%

Tencent
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

मेटा
<1%

<1%

ByteDance
<1%

मिनीमैक्स
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

दीपसीक
<1%

थिंकी
<1%

पूलसाइड
<1%

मिस्त्राल
<1%
Anthropic 78.6%
OpenAI 17.0%
अलीबाबा 2.8%
मूनशॉट 2.4%
$68,937 वॉल्यूम
$68,937 वॉल्यूम

Anthropic
79%

OpenAI
17%

अलीबाबा
3%

मूनशॉट
2%

स्पेसएक्सएआई
1%

Tencent
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

मेटा
<1%

<1%

ByteDance
<1%

मिनीमैक्स
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

दीपसीक
<1%

थिंकी
<1%

पूलसाइड
<1%

मिस्त्राल
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an overwhelming 79% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of September, driven by the July launch of Claude Opus 5, which quickly established state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench variants while powering agentic workflows in Claude Code. Its combination of strong long-context handling, tool use, and cost-efficient performance has kept multiple Claude variants near the top of live web development evaluations, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series at 17%. Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba show rising scores but trail in consistent agentic web dev tasks. Traders are pricing in continued Anthropic momentum ahead of the final leaderboard snapshot, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the ranking before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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