Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite against Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie. Redistricting shifted the Dallas-centered seat into a solidly Democratic district previously rated Safe or Solid D by multiple forecasters, removing competitive elements and aligning it with Allred’s prior House tenure and local name recognition. Allred’s substantial fundraising edge—millions raised versus Gillespie’s negligible totals—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% implied probability. The November general election timeline leaves limited room for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant scandal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-33 House Election Winner
TX-33 House Election Winner
$16,649 वॉल्यूम
$16,649 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
कोलिन ऑलरेड (डेमोक्रेट)
96%
पैट्रिक गिलेस्पी (आर)
1%
$16,649 वॉल्यूम
$16,649 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
कोलिन ऑलरेड (डेमोक्रेट)
$3,115 वॉल्यूम
96%
पैट्रिक गिलेस्पी (आर)
$13,534 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite against Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie. Redistricting shifted the Dallas-centered seat into a solidly Democratic district previously rated Safe or Solid D by multiple forecasters, removing competitive elements and aligning it with Allred’s prior House tenure and local name recognition. Allred’s substantial fundraising edge—millions raised versus Gillespie’s negligible totals—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% implied probability. The November general election timeline leaves limited room for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,649समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite against Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie. Redistricting shifted the Dallas-centered seat into a solidly Democratic district previously rated Safe or Solid D by multiple forecasters, removing competitive elements and aligning it with Allred’s prior House tenure and local name recognition. Allred’s substantial fundraising edge—millions raised versus Gillespie’s negligible totals—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% implied probability. The November general election timeline leaves limited room for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$16,649समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite against Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie. Redistricting shifted the Dallas-centered seat into a solidly Democratic district previously rated Safe or Solid D by multiple forecasters, removing competitive elements and aligning it with Allred’s prior House tenure and local name recognition. Allred’s substantial fundraising edge—millions raised versus Gillespie’s negligible totals—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% implied probability. The November general election timeline leaves limited room for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant scandal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न