Competitive House races framed as a referendum on the Trump administration have sustained trader focus on elevated participation, with Democratic polling leads, special election results, and redistricting battles nationalizing the contest. Historical midterm totals of 100-115 million votes set a baseline, yet opposition energy, expanded mail voting, and primary signals point toward 115-130 million as the consensus range. Party mobilization efforts, including Republican outreach to lower-engagement voters concerned with affordability, and Democratic grassroots activity introduce variability. Uncertainties around base turnout and late economic or campaign developments could shift totals within or beyond the tightly matched 115-130 million brackets before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
125-130m 23%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 16%
$28,182 Vol.
$28,182 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
5%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
5%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 16%
$28,182 Vol.
$28,182 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$603 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$609 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$1,195 Vol.
5%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
7%
110-115m
$4,475 Vol.
16%
115-120m
$4,662 Vol.
20%
120-125m
$8,991 Vol.
19%
125-130m
$3,301 Vol.
23%
130m+
$1,312 Vol.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Competitive House races framed as a referendum on the Trump administration have sustained trader focus on elevated participation, with Democratic polling leads, special election results, and redistricting battles nationalizing the contest. Historical midterm totals of 100-115 million votes set a baseline, yet opposition energy, expanded mail voting, and primary signals point toward 115-130 million as the consensus range. Party mobilization efforts, including Republican outreach to lower-engagement voters concerned with affordability, and Democratic grassroots activity introduce variability. Uncertainties around base turnout and late economic or campaign developments could shift totals within or beyond the tightly matched 115-130 million brackets before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$28,182Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Competitive House races framed as a referendum on the Trump administration have sustained trader focus on elevated participation, with Democratic polling leads, special election results, and redistricting battles nationalizing the contest. Historical midterm totals of 100-115 million votes set a baseline, yet opposition energy, expanded mail voting, and primary signals point toward 115-130 million as the consensus range. Party mobilization efforts, including Republican outreach to lower-engagement voters concerned with affordability, and Democratic grassroots activity introduce variability. Uncertainties around base turnout and late economic or campaign developments could shift totals within or beyond the tightly matched 115-130 million brackets before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$28,182Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Competitive House races framed as a referendum on the Trump administration have sustained trader focus on elevated participation, with Democratic polling leads, special election results, and redistricting battles nationalizing the contest. Historical midterm totals of 100-115 million votes set a baseline, yet opposition energy, expanded mail voting, and primary signals point toward 115-130 million as the consensus range. Party mobilization efforts, including Republican outreach to lower-engagement voters concerned with affordability, and Democratic grassroots activity introduce variability. Uncertainties around base turnout and late economic or campaign developments could shift totals within or beyond the tightly matched 115-130 million brackets before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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