Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–18 percent, with the latest mid-September surveys from INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and Infratest dimap converging near 16 percent. This marks a modest decline from their 18.4 percent in the 2023 repeat vote and positions them behind Die Linke and the CDU while ahead of the SPD. The tight clustering of the top four parties within a narrow band sustains uncertainty around the Greens’ final share, as small shifts in turnout or preference among urban and suburban voters could move results across the 14–17 and 17–20 percent thresholds. Coalition positioning, with the Greens excluding cooperation with the CDU, and last-minute campaign focus on housing and public spaces remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before polls close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui17-20% 41%
14-17% 37%
<14% 25%
20%+ 2.1%
$40,903 Vol.
$40,903 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<14%
25%
14-17%
37%
17-20%
41%
20%+
2%
17-20% 41%
14-17% 37%
<14% 25%
20%+ 2.1%
$40,903 Vol.
$40,903 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<14%
$19,418 Vol.
25%
14-17%
$14,040 Vol.
37%
17-20%
$5,758 Vol.
41%
20%+
$1,687 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–18 percent, with the latest mid-September surveys from INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and Infratest dimap converging near 16 percent. This marks a modest decline from their 18.4 percent in the 2023 repeat vote and positions them behind Die Linke and the CDU while ahead of the SPD. The tight clustering of the top four parties within a narrow band sustains uncertainty around the Greens’ final share, as small shifts in turnout or preference among urban and suburban voters could move results across the 14–17 and 17–20 percent thresholds. Coalition positioning, with the Greens excluding cooperation with the CDU, and last-minute campaign focus on housing and public spaces remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$40,903Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–18 percent, with the latest mid-September surveys from INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and Infratest dimap converging near 16 percent. This marks a modest decline from their 18.4 percent in the 2023 repeat vote and positions them behind Die Linke and the CDU while ahead of the SPD. The tight clustering of the top four parties within a narrow band sustains uncertainty around the Greens’ final share, as small shifts in turnout or preference among urban and suburban voters could move results across the 14–17 and 17–20 percent thresholds. Coalition positioning, with the Greens excluding cooperation with the CDU, and last-minute campaign focus on housing and public spaces remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$40,903Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–18 percent, with the latest mid-September surveys from INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and Infratest dimap converging near 16 percent. This marks a modest decline from their 18.4 percent in the 2023 repeat vote and positions them behind Die Linke and the CDU while ahead of the SPD. The tight clustering of the top four parties within a narrow band sustains uncertainty around the Greens’ final share, as small shifts in turnout or preference among urban and suburban voters could move results across the 14–17 and 17–20 percent thresholds. Coalition positioning, with the Greens excluding cooperation with the CDU, and last-minute campaign focus on housing and public spaces remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before polls close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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