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Politik·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politik·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 81%

Stefan Evers 17%

Werner Graf 2.6%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$43,085 Vol.

Elif Eralp 81%

Stefan Evers 17%

Werner Graf 2.6%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$43,085 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$17,928 Vol.

81%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$14,049 Vol.

17%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$7,425 Vol.

3%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$1,448 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,234 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 80.5% implied probability as the next Governing Mayor of Berlin, well ahead of Stefan Evers (CDU) at 17% and lower shares for Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), Kristin Brinker (AfD), and others.** The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a tight multi-party race in which recent polling places Die Linke narrowly ahead or competitive at roughly 22%, followed closely by the CDU, Greens, and others in the mid-to-high teens. Eralp’s position strengthened after incumbent CDU mayor Kai Wegner withdrew as lead candidate in July 2026 amid criticism of his handling of a January power outage and related statements. Stefan Evers, the current finance senator, took over as CDU top candidate. Die Linke’s momentum, Eralp’s focus on housing affordability and rents, and the realistic prospect of a left-leaning three-party coalition (Linke–Greens–SPD) explain the strong market pricing. Traders assign lower odds to alternatives because no single party is near a majority and coalition math favors the current frontrunner. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election negotiations, with resolution tied to formation of the next governing coalition.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,085
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 80.5% implied probability as the next Governing Mayor of Berlin, well ahead of Stefan Evers (CDU) at 17% and lower shares for Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), Kristin Brinker (AfD), and others.** The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a tight multi-party race in which recent polling places Die Linke narrowly ahead or competitive at roughly 22%, followed closely by the CDU, Greens, and others in the mid-to-high teens. Eralp’s position strengthened after incumbent CDU mayor Kai Wegner withdrew as lead candidate in July 2026 amid criticism of his handling of a January power outage and related statements. Stefan Evers, the current finance senator, took over as CDU top candidate. Die Linke’s momentum, Eralp’s focus on housing affordability and rents, and the realistic prospect of a left-leaning three-party coalition (Linke–Greens–SPD) explain the strong market pricing. Traders assign lower odds to alternatives because no single party is near a majority and coalition math favors the current frontrunner. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election negotiations, with resolution tied to formation of the next governing coalition.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,085
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

92%
icon for Apakah Linke akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan negara bagian Berlin 2026?

Apakah Linke akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan negara bagian Berlin 2026?

60%
Ya
icon for Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

40%
Over

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elif Eralp" di 81%, diikuti oleh "Stefan Evers" di 17%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 81¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" telah menghasilkan $43.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 11, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" adalah "Elif Eralp" di 81%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Stefan Evers" di 17%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.