Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election show the AfD at 40–43% support, far ahead of the CDU at 22–23%, with the Left, SPD, and Greens each clearing the 5% threshold while the FDP and BSW remain below it. This distribution, drawn from late-August surveys by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and others, translates into AfD seat projections clustered in the high 30s under the state’s proportional system with an 83-seat chamber and 42-seat majority threshold. Trader consensus on 38–41 seats reflects the consistent finding that AfD gains fall just short of an outright majority once smaller-party clearances allocate the remaining mandates, with limited late shifts expected given the narrow window to election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui38-41 70%
42-45 17%
34-37 5.8%
46-49 3.3%
$49,846 Vol.
$49,846 Vol.
<34
1%
34-37
6%
38-41
70%
42-45
17%
46-49
3%
50+
1%
38-41 70%
42-45 17%
34-37 5.8%
46-49 3.3%
$49,846 Vol.
$49,846 Vol.
<34
1%
34-37
6%
38-41
70%
42-45
17%
46-49
3%
50+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election show the AfD at 40–43% support, far ahead of the CDU at 22–23%, with the Left, SPD, and Greens each clearing the 5% threshold while the FDP and BSW remain below it. This distribution, drawn from late-August surveys by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and others, translates into AfD seat projections clustered in the high 30s under the state’s proportional system with an 83-seat chamber and 42-seat majority threshold. Trader consensus on 38–41 seats reflects the consistent finding that AfD gains fall just short of an outright majority once smaller-party clearances allocate the remaining mandates, with limited late shifts expected given the narrow window to election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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