California's 11th congressional district remains one of the nation's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a partisan lean exceeding D+60 based on prior election results. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democrats Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election. No Republican candidate advanced, and the district's voter composition and historical turnout patterns have produced consistent Democratic margins above 70 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural reality, pricing in near-certainty of a Democratic hold. Late shifts remain possible only through improbable events such as candidate disqualification, party switches, or major turnout anomalies that have no precedent in the district's recent voting history.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,768 Vol.
$21,768 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$21,768 Vol.
$21,768 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$6,788 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains one of the nation's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a partisan lean exceeding D+60 based on prior election results. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democrats Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election. No Republican candidate advanced, and the district's voter composition and historical turnout patterns have produced consistent Democratic margins above 70 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural reality, pricing in near-certainty of a Democratic hold. Late shifts remain possible only through improbable events such as candidate disqualification, party switches, or major turnout anomalies that have no precedent in the district's recent voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,768Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains one of the nation's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a partisan lean exceeding D+60 based on prior election results. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democrats Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election. No Republican candidate advanced, and the district's voter composition and historical turnout patterns have produced consistent Democratic margins above 70 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural reality, pricing in near-certainty of a Democratic hold. Late shifts remain possible only through improbable events such as candidate disqualification, party switches, or major turnout anomalies that have no precedent in the district's recent voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,768Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains one of the nation's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a partisan lean exceeding D+60 based on prior election results. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democrats Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election. No Republican candidate advanced, and the district's voter composition and historical turnout patterns have produced consistent Democratic margins above 70 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural reality, pricing in near-certainty of a Democratic hold. Late shifts remain possible only through improbable events such as candidate disqualification, party switches, or major turnout anomalies that have no precedent in the district's recent voting history.
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