California's 34th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voter Index and voter registration where Democrats outnumber Republicans by roughly five to one. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres—while the leading Republican received just 13.6 percent, confirming the absence of a viable GOP general-election candidate on November 3. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 96.3 percent implied probability because the outcome hinges solely on which Democrat prevails in a low-turnout contest between aligned candidates. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting both nominees before certification, could realistically shift the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-34 House Election Winner
CA-34 House Election Winner
$49,520 Vol.
$49,520 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
<1%
$49,520 Vol.
$49,520 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,225 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$29,295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voter Index and voter registration where Democrats outnumber Republicans by roughly five to one. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres—while the leading Republican received just 13.6 percent, confirming the absence of a viable GOP general-election candidate on November 3. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 96.3 percent implied probability because the outcome hinges solely on which Democrat prevails in a low-turnout contest between aligned candidates. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting both nominees before certification, could realistically shift the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$49,520Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voter Index and voter registration where Democrats outnumber Republicans by roughly five to one. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres—while the leading Republican received just 13.6 percent, confirming the absence of a viable GOP general-election candidate on November 3. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 96.3 percent implied probability because the outcome hinges solely on which Democrat prevails in a low-turnout contest between aligned candidates. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting both nominees before certification, could realistically shift the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,520Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 34th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voter Index and voter registration where Democrats outnumber Republicans by roughly five to one. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres—while the leading Republican received just 13.6 percent, confirming the absence of a viable GOP general-election candidate on November 3. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 96.3 percent implied probability because the outcome hinges solely on which Democrat prevails in a low-turnout contest between aligned candidates. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting both nominees before certification, could realistically shift the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan