Marco Bonilla Mendoza secured the PAN nomination for Chihuahua governor in August 2026, positioning him as the leading contender in trader pricing at 58%. Morena's coalition with PT and PVEM remains in an internal selection phase among Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, Andrea Chávez Treviño, and others, with recent surveys from Mitofsky, Buendía & Márquez, and México Elige showing the party ahead statewide but split preferences inside the alliance. Close polling margins between leading PAN and Morena figures, combined with uncertainty over the final coalition ticket and voter turnout dynamics ahead of the June 2027 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities across multiple outcomes. Late internal resolutions, alliance negotiations, or shifts in state-level approval for the incumbent PAN administration could widen separation among candidates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMarco Bonilla Mendoza 58%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 22%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 12%
Julián LeBarón 11.1%
$15,026 Vol.
$15,026 Vol.

Marco Bonilla Mendoza
58%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar
22%

Andrea Chávez Treviño
12%

Julián LeBarón
6%

Francisco Sánchez Villegas
6%

Martín Chaparro Payán
4%

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán
<1%

Daniela Álvarez Hernández
<1%

Mario Vázquez Robles
<1%

Jesús Valenciano García
<1%

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant
<1%

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda
<1%

Gilberto Loya Chávez
<1%

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez
<1%

Graciela Ortiz González
<1%

Rosana Díaz Reyes
<1%
Marco Bonilla Mendoza 58%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 22%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 12%
Julián LeBarón 11.1%
$15,026 Vol.
$15,026 Vol.

Marco Bonilla Mendoza
58%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar
22%

Andrea Chávez Treviño
12%

Julián LeBarón
6%

Francisco Sánchez Villegas
6%

Martín Chaparro Payán
4%

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán
<1%

Daniela Álvarez Hernández
<1%

Mario Vázquez Robles
<1%

Jesús Valenciano García
<1%

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant
<1%

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda
<1%

Gilberto Loya Chávez
<1%

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez
<1%

Graciela Ortiz González
<1%

Rosana Díaz Reyes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marco Bonilla Mendoza secured the PAN nomination for Chihuahua governor in August 2026, positioning him as the leading contender in trader pricing at 58%. Morena's coalition with PT and PVEM remains in an internal selection phase among Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, Andrea Chávez Treviño, and others, with recent surveys from Mitofsky, Buendía & Márquez, and México Elige showing the party ahead statewide but split preferences inside the alliance. Close polling margins between leading PAN and Morena figures, combined with uncertainty over the final coalition ticket and voter turnout dynamics ahead of the June 2027 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities across multiple outcomes. Late internal resolutions, alliance negotiations, or shifts in state-level approval for the incumbent PAN administration could widen separation among candidates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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