Traders assign roughly 93% implied probability to No on the Elon Bull Run Parlay because the market requires all three conditions to align by December 31, 2026: Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and at least nine successful SpaceX Starship launches reaching space. Musk’s current valuation near $930 billion faces headwinds from Tesla share unlocks and broader market conditions that rarely deliver the sustained rally needed in the remaining months. Starship testing continues to encounter technical and regulatory delays that have limited orbital cadence well below the required pace, while no credible reports indicate an imminent new child. The parlay format compounds these individual risks. A sharp Tesla rally, accelerated Starship flight rate, or unexpected family announcement could still shift sentiment before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui10% peluang
$12,448 Vol.
$12,448 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
10% peluang
$12,448 Vol.
$12,448 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign roughly 93% implied probability to No on the Elon Bull Run Parlay because the market requires all three conditions to align by December 31, 2026: Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and at least nine successful SpaceX Starship launches reaching space. Musk’s current valuation near $930 billion faces headwinds from Tesla share unlocks and broader market conditions that rarely deliver the sustained rally needed in the remaining months. Starship testing continues to encounter technical and regulatory delays that have limited orbital cadence well below the required pace, while no credible reports indicate an imminent new child. The parlay format compounds these individual risks. A sharp Tesla rally, accelerated Starship flight rate, or unexpected family announcement could still shift sentiment before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$12,448Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 2, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign roughly 93% implied probability to No on the Elon Bull Run Parlay because the market requires all three conditions to align by December 31, 2026: Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and at least nine successful SpaceX Starship launches reaching space. Musk’s current valuation near $930 billion faces headwinds from Tesla share unlocks and broader market conditions that rarely deliver the sustained rally needed in the remaining months. Starship testing continues to encounter technical and regulatory delays that have limited orbital cadence well below the required pace, while no credible reports indicate an imminent new child. The parlay format compounds these individual risks. A sharp Tesla rally, accelerated Starship flight rate, or unexpected family announcement could still shift sentiment before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$12,448Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 2, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign roughly 93% implied probability to No on the Elon Bull Run Parlay because the market requires all three conditions to align by December 31, 2026: Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and at least nine successful SpaceX Starship launches reaching space. Musk’s current valuation near $930 billion faces headwinds from Tesla share unlocks and broader market conditions that rarely deliver the sustained rally needed in the remaining months. Starship testing continues to encounter technical and regulatory delays that have limited orbital cadence well below the required pace, while no credible reports indicate an imminent new child. The parlay format compounds these individual risks. A sharp Tesla rally, accelerated Starship flight rate, or unexpected family announcement could still shift sentiment before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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