The US-backed Board of Peace plan for postwar Gaza centers on deploying an International Stabilization Force (ISF) with troops from countries including Morocco, Uganda, Indonesia, and others to support security, aid, and a Palestinian technocratic administration replacing Hamas governance. Implementation remains stalled as of mid-September 2026 due to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s election campaign, disputes over Hamas disarmament, and pending Israeli approvals for force entry and operations. The IDF has continued targeted strikes on Hamas commanders, reporting multiple ceasefire violations in September while rejecting large-scale reconstruction until weapons handover. Israeli elections on October 27 add near-term uncertainty, with US officials noting political constraints on advancing the roadmap. Trader focus on specific foreign contributors reflects these diplomatic and security bottlenecks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUgandan parliament approves deployment of troops to Gaza as part of international stabilization force
December 31 jumps to 28%10%
Uganda's parliamentary approval to send troops to Gaza signaled growing international commitment to the peacekeeping mission, leading to a rise in market optimism for foreign intervention by the December 31 outcome, despite no actual deployment yet.
Israeli airstrikes continue in Gaza amid ongoing conflict and no foreign intervention
September 30 dips to 1%1%
Israeli military operations, including airstrikes causing significant casualties, continued in Gaza without any foreign peacekeepers or military personnel entering the territory. This reinforced market expectations of no foreign intervention by the September 30 deadline, contributing to price declines.




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