Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary after receiving the endorsement of retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned super PACs in a crowded field of more than 20 candidates. The district, which encompasses Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland counties, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, including a 33-point advantage for Kamala Harris in the prior presidential contest. Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 95% for Boafo reflects these partisan fundamentals and the absence of recent events that would alter the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$18,216 Vol.
$18,216 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Adrian Boafo (D)
95%
Chris Chaffee (R)
3%
$18,216 Vol.
$18,216 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Adrian Boafo (D)
$8,754 Vol.
95%
Chris Chaffee (R)
$9,462 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary after receiving the endorsement of retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned super PACs in a crowded field of more than 20 candidates. The district, which encompasses Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland counties, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, including a 33-point advantage for Kamala Harris in the prior presidential contest. Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 95% for Boafo reflects these partisan fundamentals and the absence of recent events that would alter the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,216Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary after receiving the endorsement of retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned super PACs in a crowded field of more than 20 candidates. The district, which encompasses Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland counties, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, including a 33-point advantage for Kamala Harris in the prior presidential contest. Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 95% for Boafo reflects these partisan fundamentals and the absence of recent events that would alter the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,216Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary after receiving the endorsement of retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned super PACs in a crowded field of more than 20 candidates. The district, which encompasses Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland counties, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, including a 33-point advantage for Kamala Harris in the prior presidential contest. Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 95% for Boafo reflects these partisan fundamentals and the absence of recent events that would alter the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
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