Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th congressional district race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic presidential margins. As the long-serving incumbent since 2001, McCollum secured her party’s nomination with 86% in the August 2026 primary, while Republican Paul Wikstrom prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, with projected margins exceeding 30 points. Trader consensus at 95.5% aligns with these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
95%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
4%
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
$4,052 Vol.
95%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
$20,235 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th congressional district race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic presidential margins. As the long-serving incumbent since 2001, McCollum secured her party’s nomination with 86% in the August 2026 primary, while Republican Paul Wikstrom prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, with projected margins exceeding 30 points. Trader consensus at 95.5% aligns with these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,286Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th congressional district race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic presidential margins. As the long-serving incumbent since 2001, McCollum secured her party’s nomination with 86% in the August 2026 primary, while Republican Paul Wikstrom prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, with projected margins exceeding 30 points. Trader consensus at 95.5% aligns with these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,286Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th congressional district race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic presidential margins. As the long-serving incumbent since 2001, McCollum secured her party’s nomination with 86% in the August 2026 primary, while Republican Paul Wikstrom prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, with projected margins exceeding 30 points. Trader consensus at 95.5% aligns with these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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