Frank Pallone’s long incumbency since 1988, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+5) and solid-to-safe ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around his 94.8% implied probability. He secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with 65.7% against two progressive challengers and maintains a multimillion-dollar campaign account, while Republican nominee Hillary Herzig, a first-time candidate, ran unopposed but has raised under $8,000. No major developments have shifted the race since the primaries. Late-breaking events such as an unforeseen national political realignment, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNJ-06 House Election Winner
NJ-06 House Election Winner
$28,673 Vol.
$28,673 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Frank Pallone (D)
95%
Hillary Herzig (R)
5%
$28,673 Vol.
$28,673 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Frank Pallone (D)
$9,125 Vol.
95%
Hillary Herzig (R)
$19,548 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Pallone’s long incumbency since 1988, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+5) and solid-to-safe ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around his 94.8% implied probability. He secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with 65.7% against two progressive challengers and maintains a multimillion-dollar campaign account, while Republican nominee Hillary Herzig, a first-time candidate, ran unopposed but has raised under $8,000. No major developments have shifted the race since the primaries. Late-breaking events such as an unforeseen national political realignment, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$28,673Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Pallone’s long incumbency since 1988, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+5) and solid-to-safe ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around his 94.8% implied probability. He secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with 65.7% against two progressive challengers and maintains a multimillion-dollar campaign account, while Republican nominee Hillary Herzig, a first-time candidate, ran unopposed but has raised under $8,000. No major developments have shifted the race since the primaries. Late-breaking events such as an unforeseen national political realignment, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,673Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Frank Pallone’s long incumbency since 1988, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+5) and solid-to-safe ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around his 94.8% implied probability. He secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with 65.7% against two progressive challengers and maintains a multimillion-dollar campaign account, while Republican nominee Hillary Herzig, a first-time candidate, ran unopposed but has raised under $8,000. No major developments have shifted the race since the primaries. Late-breaking events such as an unforeseen national political realignment, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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